Trump's politics is so far from being understandable that it appears to cause the decay of the USA; for instance, the governor of California ended up pleading to exclude California-made products from tariffs introduced as retailation against Trump's measures; another example of a state wishing to secede is New Hampshire where the Republican state Representative Jason Gerhard proposed that New Hampshire should peacefully declare independence from the U.S. if the national debt surpasses $40 trillion, which is apparently to take place in less than 1.5 years. [1]
Meanwhile, the optimistic 2027 timeline implies that Taiwan is to be invaded in late 2026, if not earlier, while the pessimistic timeline implies that AI is to start taking jobs by that time and that the full effects of the AI-related research are to kick in during 2027. How likely is a potential decay of the USA to let Chinese spies do much more work like destroying the data centres or leaving them without electricity? What effect will it have on the race to AGI?
EDIT: Trump somehow decided to impose tariffs on most goods from Taiwan, except for the chips necessary to perform calculations.
The national debt is currently $36.7 trillion. In four years it is projected to reach $46.4 trillion.