"Emergent" behaviour may require "deep" elicitation.
We largely treat frontier AI as "chatbots" or "assistants". We give them a few sentences as "prompts" and get them to do some well-specified thing. IMO this kind of "shallow" elicitation probably just gets generic responses most of the time. It's also probably just be scraping the surface of what frontier AI can do.
Simple counting argument sketch: Transformers are deterministic, i.e. for a fixed input, they have a fixed output. When L is small, there are only so many prompts, i.e. only so many ultimate behaviours. However, note the complexity of the input is LV, where L is context length and V is vocabulary size. I.e. complexity is exponential in L, therefore longer contexts can elicit much richer classes of behaviour.
Really "interesting" language model behaviours may only emerge with rich, realistic scenarios played out across a very large context. I.e "deep" elicitation may enable "emergent" behaviour.
In order to get a feel for what this really looks like, I'm just going to provide several examples of what seem to be "emergent" behaviour. Of course, the usual caveats hold, i.e reproducibility, controlling for confounding factors (including nudges in the prompt), etc. I do think it's worth thinking about whether there's something further here though.
Example 1: Janus hosts a Discord village where LLMs talk to each other, and has catalogued many examples of 'emergent' behaviour. Here are some examples[1]:
Example 2: A LessWrong user by the name of @rife recently did experiments where he had a series of very long conversations with Claude:
Other ideas for "deep" elicitation include:
Both of these may make the model more situationally aware. Other rich behaviours may also emerge.
Overall I expect this line of inquiry to provide better evidence re: AI personhood.
Not exhaustive by any means; his Twitter has way more of these
I'd have to look back at the methodology to be sure, but on the assumption that they have the model answer immediately without any chain of thought, my default guess about this is that it's about the limits of what can be done in one or a small number of forward passes. If it's the case that the model is doing some sort of internal simulation of its own behavior on the task, that seems like it might require more steps of computation than just a couple of forward passes allow. Intuitively, at least, this sort of internal simulation is what I imagine is happ... (read more)