This thread was created on 3/8/2020, or approximately one million years ago in virus time. It’s getting pretty bloated now, and a lot of things that were high value at the time have been eclipsed by events, making karma not a very useful sorting tool. So I’m declaring this thread finished, and asking everyone to move over to the April Coronavirus Open Thread.
Interested in what happened in this thread? Here’s the timeless or not-yet-eclipsed highlights:
Scott Alexander comes up with Hammer and Dance 6 days before Tomas Pueyo
Spiracular on why SARS-Cov-2 is unlikely to be lab-created.
Twodocuments collating estimates of basic epidemiological parameters, in response to this thread
Discussion on whether the tuberculosis vaccine provides protection against COVID-19.
That's a really interesting blog post, and it made me update (towards the idea that containment efforts in most countries will keep ramping up until containment actually succeeds). How did you come across it? I've been following Twitter, a couple of FB groups, and Reddit, and it didn't get linked by any of the posts I saw.
It feels to me now that flattening the curve is just a nice graphic without anyone checking the math, but I am confused that many informed-seeming experts are promoting the idea. Anything I’m missing?
This thread was created on 3/8/2020, or approximately one million years ago in virus time. It’s getting pretty bloated now, and a lot of things that were high value at the time have been eclipsed by events, making karma not a very useful sorting tool. So I’m declaring this thread finished, and asking everyone to move over to the April Coronavirus Open Thread.
Interested in what happened in this thread? Here’s the timeless or not-yet-eclipsed highlights: