WHERE:Shakespeare's Head, Africa House, 64 Shakespeare's Head, Africa House, 64-68 Kingsway, London WC2B 6BG, UK-68 Kingsway, London WC2B 6BG, UK
LessWrong London is having another meetup this Sunday (08/12) at 2:00 PM. We are meeting at our usual venue - The Shakespeare's Head by Holborn tube station and this is our first practical in a while.
The aim of the meetup will be improvement of our probability estimates methods by means of calibration. My current plan is to compile a list of statements and questions, check their answers, gamify the procedure and ask everyone to give Percentages and/or Confidence Intervals regarding their predictions of said statements and question. E.g. 'I assign a 70% chance that the statement 'There will be more people at the Calibration Training practical than at the Social Meetup the prior week " is true'. As I mentioned, I inted to gamify things at least a little bit and there will likely be different 'rounds' of question as well as 'winners'.
Note: you are not required to prepare in any way as everything will be explained during the meetup, however it will help if you arrive on time.
Reminder: The LW London Meetups are currently a weekly event - Every Sunday at 2:00 PM!
If you want more information about the meetup or anything else come by our google group or alternatively to our facebook group.
Discussion article for the meetup : London Practical Meetup - Calibration Training!
WHEN: 08 December 2013 02:00:00AM (+0000)
WHERE: Shakespeare's Head, Africa House, 64 Shakespeare's Head, Africa House, 64-68 Kingsway, London WC2B 6BG, UK-68 Kingsway, London WC2B 6BG, UK
LessWrong London is having another meetup this Sunday (08/12) at 2:00 PM. We are meeting at our usual venue - The Shakespeare's Head by Holborn tube station and this is our first practical in a while.
The aim of the meetup will be improvement of our probability estimates methods by means of calibration. My current plan is to compile a list of statements and questions, check their answers, gamify the procedure and ask everyone to give Percentages and/or Confidence Intervals regarding their predictions of said statements and question. E.g. 'I assign a 70% chance that the statement 'There will be more people at the Calibration Training practical than at the Social Meetup the prior week " is true'. As I mentioned, I inted to gamify things at least a little bit and there will likely be different 'rounds' of question as well as 'winners'.
Note: you are not required to prepare in any way as everything will be explained during the meetup, however it will help if you arrive on time.
Reminder: The LW London Meetups are currently a weekly event - Every Sunday at 2:00 PM!
If you want more information about the meetup or anything else come by our google group or alternatively to our facebook group.
Discussion article for the meetup : London Practical Meetup - Calibration Training!