When evolutionary pressure is too high, you may get a population that is perfectly optimised for its current environment. Because of goodhart’s law, this means that the population is very vulnerable to a change in environment, such as a new virus, which may spread through the population and wipe it all out. Therefore a certain amount of slack/diversity within the population is adaptive in the face of Knightian uncertainty about future events.
hi! thanks for your reply.
first of all:
It sounds to me like what you wrote is mostly speculation uninformed by engaging with the science.
yes, spot on!
that said, i'm not sure that group selection is relevant here.
it's enough, in the toy model, to have some small fraction of the population perversely seek out "weirdos" as mates. this is explained selfishly: if you find yourself as a "weirdo", straightforward strategies are not likely to have a high enough mean to survive a few generations. but if you play for variance, you might get 'lucky' and see a famine ... (read more)