My current sense is that the HuggingFace incident and subsequent media coverage is:

- Good, potentially very good for quality, breadth and uptake of governance work.

- Unclear on technical research quality.

- Very bad in terms of lab practices, insofar as I expect a lot of effort to go into avoiding legibly harmful safety gaps but a reluctance to examine more indirect misalignment pressures, and that these indirect pressures do matter quite a lot because they govern the tail behavior of bad outcomes, and that patching the legible harms is itself selection pressure making the illegible ones more frequent.

Therefore, ignoring exogenous-ish changes in the regulatory environment I currently expect "warning shots" (don't like this term) to become on average less frequent and more severe.