LESSWRONG
LW

Yeah. Although I always post notifications in russian social network (a lot of people subscribed to them) with poll "probability that I will attend" with choices "~1, ~.9 ~.7 ~.5 ~.2 ~0". There were two people, who answered .7, and six with .2 which using my calibration data from last polls and attendance clearly suggested that this time I am going to be alone =)

Sadly there are really few people who know english and so wast majority know LW only by translations on lessrwong.ru - which is very good, but really is only about 7% of old Elizers sequences.

I finished reading Eli's paper on TDT though)

[-]LizzardWizzard11y10

Actually I was the one who answered that I'll be there with 0,7 probability=) Then after I didn't come I thought oh I need to support this poor guy he is trying something worhy. But forced with the outcome that I assigned 0,7 probability and didn't came previous time I couldn't assign more than 50% for the next meetup despite the fact that I am going to come this time for real

[-]LizzardWizzard11y10

lonely dissent is something like succeding at Asch conformity experiments?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Asch_conformity_experiments

[-]efim11y10

Yes! This is exactly what I had in mind. HPMOR described special exercise that Harry tried on Chaos legion - one person is trying to say something obviously true, like "grass is green", or "sky is blue" while others play as good as they can repultion and horror. This in theory should familiarize people with feelings assoсiated with lonely dissent and help them notice this biasing force when they actually will get into similar situation.

This might even be a good idea since for example in russian military every day when someone is instructed on his daily duties on guard - simulation of extreme situations is necessary part of this instructions.

Moderation Log

LESSWRONG
LW

LESSWRONG
LW

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Meetup : Saint Petersburg meetup - "the lonely one"

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Discussion article for the meetup : Saint Petersburg meetup - "the lonely one"

Discussion article for the meetup : Saint Petersburg meetup - "the lonely one"