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A complaint about AI pause: if we pause AI and then unpause, progress will then be really quick, because there's a backlog of improvements in compute and algorithmic efficiency that can be immediately applied.
One definition of what an RSP is: if a lab makes observation O, then they pause scaling until they implement protection P.
Doesn't this sort of RSP have the same problem with fast progress after pausing? Why have I never heard anyone make this complaint about RSPs? Possibilities:
They do and I just haven't seen it
People expect "AI pause" to produce longer / more serious pauses than RSPs (but this seems incidental to the core structure of RSPs)
Realized that I didn't respond to this - PauseAI's proposal is for a pause until safety can be guaranteed, rather than just for 6 months.
2DanielFilan
Are you saying that overhangs wouldn't build up too much under pauses because the government wouldn't let it happen, or that RSPs would have less overhang because they'd pause for less long so less overhang would build up? I can't quite tell.
Rationality-related writings that are more comment-shaped than post-shaped. Please don't leave top-level comments here unless they're indistinguishable to me from something I would say here.