What is Manifest?

Manifest is a festival for predictions, markets, and mechanisms. It’ll feature serious talks, attendee-run workshops, fun side events, and so many of our favorite people!

Tickets: manifest.is/#tickets

WHEN: June 7-9, 2024, with LessOnline starting May 31 and Summer Camp starting June 3

WHERELighthaven, Berkeley, CA

WHO: Hundreds of folks, interested in forecasting, rationality, EA, economics, journalism, tech and more. If you’re reading this, you’re invited! Special guests include Nate Silver, Scott Alexander, Robin Hanson, Dwarkesh Patel, Cate Hall, and many more.

You can find more details about what we’re planning in our announcement post.

Ticket Deadline

We’re planning to increase standard tickets from $399 to $499 on Tuesday, May 13th so get your tickets ASAP!

Prices for tickets to LessOnline (May 31 - June 2) and Summer Camp (June 3 - June 7) will also each increase by $100 on May 13th.

Student and supporter ticket prices will stay the same, but we still appreciate your buying tickets before the May 13th deadline as it helps us plan. Plus it means you’ll get a nice name badge!

We plan to raise prices again on May 31, one week before the beginning of Manifest — but we might raise prices again sooner than that if tickets are selling out.


Manifest is looking for sponsors! We attract some of the world's most thoughtful speakers and talented individuals — if your organization is looking to broaden your company's reach, or recruit the best folks in the world, consider becoming a sponsor. You can shoot an email to Saul (saul@manifest.is) or book a call with him here.