I want to get really good at chess. I could follow the standard advice for how to do that, like studying openings and practicing a lot, but instead I think I will follow the plan of figuring out the single general skill of "get better at learning chess" and then pour a lot of resources into that single skill, and then spend an hour studying actual chess once I've mastered the skill of learning quickly, and become a grandmaster.
Ok not really. But it does feel like that's the same sort of thought process that leads to assuming that "ML research" is a single skill that AIs can improve at, and that we should expect the most capable-at-any-particular-object-level-task AIs in the future to be the ones that put most of their effort into getting better at "ML research" rather than in getting better at that particular object-level task.
You need expertise sufficient to choose and formulate the puzzles, not yet sufficient to solve them, and this generation-verification gap keeps moving the frontier of understanding forward, step by step, but potentially indefinitely.
Seems plausible. I note that