Chinese economic growth as a model for the singularity. Some 50-100 years ago some 1.4 billion humans(oids) came online in the world economy. And. Nothing happened. Real gdp world growth stayed constant. At most the meteoric rise of China helped to keep real world economic growth at the same level.

I suspect until there are at least 1.4 billion humanoid robots on earth, we will not see AI show up in the growth statistics. This seems at least 10-20 years away still.

People warning about the risks of AI will have the issue that nowhere in the real economy AI will be seen for a very long time. Prompting eventually politicians and economists to say 'what is all this fuss about'