This is a special post for quick takes by Jason R Brown. Only they can create top-level comments. Comments here also appear on the Quick Takes page and All Posts page.
I really want to write more LessWrong posts and I have a few ideas / things sketched out. I thought it might be fun to use Manifold to allow people to bet on how well they might do or whether I'll get round to writing them: https://manifold.markets/Jasonb/how-interesting-are-my-different-id.
I want to get a sense of how much overlap there is Manifold, LessWrong, and the AI Safety community, since some things I'm trying / planning to try rely quite strongly on it. As such, I'd greatly appreciate if people could quickly answer this poll on Manifold: https://manifold.markets/Jasonb/poll-where-are-you-in-the-intersect (Btw, I know I could've not made this poll on Manifold, but doing so was deliberate.)