As best I can tell, the US AI Safety institute is likely to be shuttered in the near future. I bet accordingly on this market.
Trump rescinded Executive Order 14110, which established the U.S. AI Safety Institute (AISI).
There was some congressional work going on (HR 9497 and S.4769) and that would have formalized the AISI outside of the executive order, but that has not been enacted per my best understanding of the machinations of our government.
Here's to hoping I'm wrong! also maybe next time I'll place a smaller bet...
Edit: I sold my shares at a modest profit. It seems the AISI is less directly linked to 14110 than I expected. Further, no news on it yet seems unlikely if it was actually ending.
I'm sorta expecting (without much confidence) that Trump is just going to reorganize and rebrand the US AISI, with a new executive order on AI, focusing more on accelerating national AI progress and on endorsing military applications.