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Progress links and tweets, 2023-04-05

by jasoncrawford
5th Apr 2023
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This is a linkpost for https://rootsofprogress.org/links-and-tweets-2023-04-05
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The Progress Forum

  • Wizards and prophets of AI. I posted this for comment, then decided to rewrite it, then ended up posting the core argument of the new essay as a Twitter thread, then got replies to that thread, and now I don’t know what to write anymore. I’ll post something about this on the blog at some point, but if you want my half-baked, outdated thoughts, you can read those links
  • AMA: Allison Duettmann, Foresight Institute
  • AMA: Mark Khurana, author of The Trajectory of Discovery: What Determines the Rate and Direction of Medical Progress?

Opportunities

  • Loyal (longevity) hiring a full stack software engineer (via @celinehalioua). Also they are looking for founders/execs to speak at their onsite
  • Nat Friedman wants to meet people who are doing technical alignment work

News

  • RIP Gordon Moore. “We at Intel remain inspired by Moore’s Law and intend to pursue it until the periodic table is exhausted.” Gordon’s 1965 paper: “Integrated circuits will lead to such wonders as home computers… and personal portable communications equipment.” Also, the story of the microprocessor
  • Last Energy to sell 24 small modular nuclear reactors to UK, $5/W (via @Atomicrod)
  • Law firm Cooper & Kirk accuses regulators of an attack on crypto

Announcements

  • Discord for discussion of futuristic tech: nanotech, longevity, etc. (via @kanzure)
  • A proposal for NEPA reform (by @elidourado)
  • ChatGPT plugins (via @sama and @gdb). Example: processing a video clip
  • Worldcoin launches “proof of personhood” (via @sama)
  • Lindy, the AI assistant putting your life on autopilot

Interviews

  • Sam Altman on Lex Fridman
  • Marc Andreessen interviewed by Erik Torenberg
  • World’s Fair Co. founder Cam Wiese
  • Nat Friedman interviewed by Dwarkesh Patel
  • Ilya Sutskever (cofounder of OpenAI), also by Dwarkesh
  • Nathan Myhrvold interviewed by Shane Parrish

AI

  • Bill Gates: AI is the most impressive technology since the GUI (via @BillGates)
  • Scott Aaronson on AI risk (or see my excerpt)
  • How do you integrate your API with an AI? You just give it your docs
  • A GPT prompt: “no-nonsense teacher with an ambitious, self-directed student”. And another GPT prompt, to cut the caveats and pleasantries
  • AGI and nanotech as “the last two big general technologies”
  • “GPT-4 saved my dog’s life”
  • Ben Evans on the Jevons Paradox applied to AI
  • GPT has trouble counting backwards (or maybe it’s just Markdown?)

Other links

  • Lithium, once expensive, is cheap again. Hooray for markets (via @scottlincicome)
  • 50 years of the supersonic flight ban (by @elidourado)
  • The evidence for smartphones / social media harming kids’ mental health is weak

Queries

  • Evidence for GPT-4 building a world model?
  • Good examples of tight 1-page proposals in simple language for technical projects?
  • Quantifying scientific efficiency in time elapsed from when a discovery becomes possible to when it happens?

Quotes

  • “The shapes arise!” Walt Whitman and the poetry of progress. Also, Hart Crane
  • The evolution of our buildings: from exoskeletons to internal skeletons
  • The amazing talent center of early 16th-century Florence
  • The use of mathematics in biology was important as early as 1616
  • “They don’t make ‘em like they used to,” 1540s edition
  • “A crisis of values confronted liberals in the mid-thirties”
  • “Industrialization is the only hope of the poor”
  • “What matters in the long run is whether growth is sustained”
  • In 2006, Steven Johnson predicted what happened during covid
  • America used to care about running trains on time
  • “On average, buildings that are being blasted with a firehose right now are significantly more likely to be on fire than the typical structure, but this does not mean we should ban fire departments as a clear fire hazard”

More tweets

  • Biomolecular glass (!)
  • A positive vision for biology: “what we’ll create and do once all disease is gone”
  • Twitter created a socially acceptable way to publish a single sentence
  • Collider bias

Fun

  • Midjourney is confused about how humans hold things