The reason why the human brain can get away with such a low "clock speed" is because intelligence is an embarrassingly parallel problem. Realtime constraints and the clock speed of a chip puts a limit on how deep the stack of neural net layers can be, but no limit on how wide the neural net can be, and according to deep learning theory, a wide net is complete for all problems.
We also haven't seen yet how big an impact neuromorphic architectures could be. It could be several orders of magnitude. Add in the ability of multiple intelligent units to work together just like humans do (but with less in-fighting) and it's hard to say just how much effective collective intelligence they could express.
Disclaimer
I am very ignorant about machine learning.
Introduction
I've frequently heard suggestions that a superintelligence could dominate humans by thinking a thousand or million times faster than a human. Is this actually a feasible outcome for prosaic ML systems?
Why I Doubt Speed Superintelligence
One reason I think this might not be the case is that the "superpower" of speed superintelligences is faster serial thought. However, I'm under the impression that we're already running into fundamental limits to the serial processing speed and can't really make them go much faster:
Of course the "clock rate" of the human brain is much slower, but it's not like ML models are ever going to run on processors with significantly faster clock rates. Even in 2062, we probably will not have any production processors with > 50 GHz base clock rate (it may well be considerably slower). Rising compute availability for ML will continue to be driven by parallel processing techniques.
GPT-30 would not have considerably faster serial processing than GPT-3. And I'm under the impression that "thinking speed" is mostly a function of serial processing speed?
Questions
The above said, my questions: