This is a special post for quick takes by [anonymous]. Only they can create top-level comments. Comments here also appear on the Quick Takes page and All Posts page.
My question specifically asks about the transition to ASI, which, while I think it's really hard to predict, seems likely to take years, during which time we have intelligences just a bit above human level, before they're truly world-changingly superintelligent. I understand this isn't everyone's model, and it's not necessarily mine, but I think it is plausible.
Asking "how could someone ask such a dumb question?" is a great way to ensure they leave the community. (Maybe you think that's a good thing?)