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This post is a container for my short-form writing. See this post for meta-level discussion about shortform.
Prediction: H3N8 will not be a pandemic. H3N8 is a genuine zoonotic transmission, and diseases which actually came from zoonotic transmission don't transmit well. COVID exploded rapidly because it was a lab escape, not a zoonotic transmission, and didn't have this property. The combination of poor initial transmission with an environment that's big on respiratory precautions in general, is more than sufficient to keep it from getting a foothold.
This post is a container for my short-form writing. See this post for meta-level discussion about shortform.