If you’re building any kind of dev tool, stop investing in UIs, CLIs, and MCP. Instead, invest in APIs/SDKs and documentation, which make your tool more useful for LLMs.
LLMs are becoming extremely adept at using native low-level tools so it doesn’t make sense to build wrappers around these that aren’t in the training data.
Documentation (right now mostly via agent skills) is extremely high ROI and will continue to be higher ROI as more work is delegated to agents. Your service is much less useful if an agent can’t one-shot basic actions when given documentation.
I agree, though one thing I am kind of annoyed about is that proper documentation usually means ~2x the token count for any reads on the source code, though it is definitely worth it. I hope better tooling can exist to selectively prune the API documentation.
If the documentation is formatted as agent skills then the agent can select which information to load into its context.
Agreed. Even in non-technical consulting projects (e.g., strategy, change management), I've found high ROI by turning our process documentation into skills and turning our project plans into memory layers (e.g., current focus, recent progress). I've found that lessons / workflows from software development are useful for pretty much any domain, especially as more work is delegated to the agent as you mentioned.
Pangram as a model for AI safety general managers
A couple months ago, Nan Ransohoff published a piece arguing there should be ‘general managers’ for more of the world’s important problems (here). I think a great example of how this can be operationalized in AI safety is Pangram, a company that detects LLM-generated text. They’ve gotten a lot of press recently (The Atlantic article) and the problem they’re solving is relevant to ensuring societal stability in the AGI transition period.
It can be really useful to have people willing to go really deep on solving one particular problem rather than contributing to the AI safety omnicause. My guess is that existing AI safety fellowships like MATS would not produce an organization like Pangram, although my crux here is that Pangram is actually more beneficial than this talent going and doing the default post-MATS path.
I’m curious if there are any other tractable subproblems in AI safety that would benefit from having a Pangram-shaped organization own them. One that sticks out to me is providing high-quality data for increasing LLM articulacy: ensuring that LLMs are able to communicate effectively with human operators so that humans can stay in the loop longer (I have a writeup on this coming up).
I do understand the idea that "there are any other tractable subproblems in AI safety that would benefit from having a Pangram-shaped organization own them", but I don't believe that Pangram itself, which detects AI-created text, or the attempt to "ensure that LLMs are able to communicate effectively with human operators so that humans can stay in the loop longer" are good examples. In order to explain it, I will have to explain my worldview.
P.S. This reminded me of @Cleo Nardo's sequence of posts on how outsiders could make things go well. I suspect that outsiders should have formed a super-METR, which evaluates every model's capabilities, including Chinese ones, and alignment by using methods created by a super-Redwood and deep internal access (which METR has already demanded at the end of its most recent report!), and a super-lobbyist campaign for transparent regulations and for equal-like access to benefits promised by the AGI. But I can't understand how anything else can help mankind with the ASI transition, where by anything I mean stuff like "People building stuff like AI for Epistemics or AI for coordination" or the attempt to call for outsiders to scrutinise model cards or constitutions(!!!)
In April 2023, Alexey Guzey posted "AI Alignment Is Turning from Alchemy Into Chemistry" where he reviewed Burns et al.'s paper "Discovering Latent Knowledge in Language Models Without Supervision." Some excerpts to summarize Alexey's post:
For years, I would encounter a paper about alignment — the field where people are working on making AI not take over humanity and/or kill us all — and my first reaction would be “oh my god why would you do this”. The entire field felt like bullshit. I felt like people had been working on this problem for ages: Yudkowsky, all of LessWrong, the effective altruists. The whole alignment discourse had been around for so long, yet there was basically no real progress; nothing interesting or useful. Alignment thought leaders seemed to be hostile to everyone who wasn’t an idealistic undergrad or an orthodox EA and who challenged their frames and ideas. It just felt so icky. [...] Bottom line is: the field seemed weird, stuck, and lacking any clear, good ideas and problems to work on. It basically felt like alchemy.
[...]
As far as I know, nobody ever managed to make practical progress on this issue until literally last year. Collin Burns et al’s Discovering Latent Knowledge in Language Models Without Supervision was the first alignment paper where my reaction was “fuck, this is legit”, rather than “oh my god why are you doing this”. Burns et al actually managed to show that we can learn something about what non-toy LLMs “think” or “believe” without humans labeling the data at all. Burns’ method probably won’t be the one to solve alignment for good. However, it’s an essential first step, a proof of concept that demonstrates unsupervised alignment is indeed possible, even when we can’t evaluate what AI is doing. It is the biggest reason why I think the field is finally becoming real.
Alexey ended up being quite wrong: Burns' paper, while very interesting, didn't inspire impactful follow-up research in eliciting beliefs or contribute to any alignment/control techniques used at the labs.
Despite being much more optimistic about the alignment community's ability to eventually make progress than Alexey, I did agree with him that alignment was still waiting for a killer research direction. Up to that point, and for around 2 years after, very few alignment papers actually produced insights or techniques that meaningfully affect how AI is trained and deployed. When I applied to an AI safety grantwriting role at Open Philanthropy in early 2024, one of the questions on the application was roughly "What do you think the most important alignment paper has been?" and I answered with the original RLHF paper because up until that point, it was the ~only major technique to come out of the alignment community that actually steered an AI system to behave more safely (feel free to correct me here, I'm also counting RLAIF and constitutional AI in this bucket).
But with recent work in emergent misalignment and inoculation prompting (Betley et al., MacDiarmid et al., Wichers et al.), I think alchemy really is turning into chemistry. We have:
I'm really excited to see new work that comes out of this research direction. I think there's a lot of opportunity to start creating more in vitro model organisms in reward hacking setups, and more accessible model organisms mean that more researchers can contribute to creating control techniques. With more work studying the physics of how RL posttraining and reward hacking affect model goals and capabilities, there's also more value in having evaluation techniques that can assess model alignment.