This is a linkpost for https://www.quantifiedintuitions.org/anki-with-uncertainty
Anki with Uncertainty: Turn any flashcard deck into a calibration training tool
2Bart Bussmann
2Sage Future
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Interesting! Does it ask for a different confidence interval every time I see the card? Or will it always ask for the 90% confidence interval I see the example card?
Good question - each time it'll ask for your 50%, 60%, 70%, 80%, 90%, or 95% confidence interval (chosen at random). So over time you'll be able to see your calibration scores
We've developed an Anki addon that lets you do calibration training on numerical flashcards!
Find information on how it works and how to use it on Quantified Intuitions.
Thanks to @Beth Barnes for supporting the development and giving feedback. And thanks to @Hauke Hillebrandt for inspiring this idea with this comment right here on the Forum!
It's pretty experimental, so I'd love to hear any feedback or thoughts.
In related news: the March Estimation Game is now live - ten new Fermi estimation questions, with some particularly interesting ones this month!
See our previous posts for more information about The Estimation Game and our other tools on Quantified Intuitions, including a calibration tool with questions about the world's most pressing problems.