der's Shortform

30th Jan 2025

1 min read

2

This is a special post for quick takes by der. Only they can create top-level comments. Comments here also appear on the Quick Takes page and All Posts page.

1 comment, sorted by

top scoring

Click to highlight new comments since: Today at 5:20 PM

[-]der10mo50

Prediction (influenced by R1-Zero): By EOY, expert-level performance will be reported on outcome prediction for a certain class of AI experiments - those that can be specified concisely in terms of code and data sets that:

are frequently used and can be referenced by name, e.g. MNIST digits, or
are small enough to be given explicitly, or
are synthetic, specified by their exact distribution in code.

Reply

Moderation Log

LESSWRONG
LW

LESSWRONG
LW

der's Shortform

2