Moore's lawLaw is a term attributed to Intel founder Gordon E. Moore who observed in 1965 that the number of transistors that could be purchased inexpensively and placed on an integrated circuit doubles every year. In 1975, he revised his estimate to every two years. It is often discussed as a doubling every 18 months, but that is a separate claim by David House, Intel executive, of overall chip performance. Moore's law been approximately correct for four decades.

Moore's law is a term attributed to Intel founder Gordon E. Moore who observed in 1965 that the number of transistors that could be purchased inexpensively and placed on an integrated circuit doubles every year, whichyear. In 1975, he revised in 1975his estimate to be every two years. It is often discussed as a doubling every 18 months, but that is a separate claim by David House, Intel executive, of overall chip performance. Moore's law been approximately correct for four decades.

Though current CMOS technology is predicted to be nonviable below a certain size, many other technologies offer the potential for far greater miniaturization. This may delay Moore's law temporarily while the new technologies enter full-scale production. An end to Moore's law has often been falsely predictedpredicted, but continues neverthelesshas failed to be a popular topic for speculation.materialize so far.

Though current CMOS technology is predicted to be nonviable below a certain size, many other technologies offer the potential for far greater miniaturization. This may delay Moore's law temporarily while the new technologies are developedenter full-scale production. An end to the degree CMOS technology is. The end of Moore's law has often been falsely predicted in the past but continues nevertheless to be a popular topic for speculation.

Moore's Lawlaw is a term attributed to Intel founder Gordon E. Moore who observed in 1965 that the number of transistors that could be purchased inexpensively and placed on an integrated circuit doubles every year, which he revised in 1975 to be every two years. It is often discussed as a doubling every 18 months, but that is a separate claim by David House, Intel executive, of overall chip performance. Moore's Law haslaw been approximately correct for four decades.

Though current CMOS technology is predicted to be nonviable below a certain size, many other technologies offer the potential for far greater miniaturization. This may delay Moore's law while new technologies are developed to the degree CMOS technology is. The end of Moore's Lawlaw has often been falsely predicted in the past but continues to be a popular topic for speculation.

Moore's Law is a term attributed to Intel founder Gordon E. Moore who observed in 1965 that the number of transistors that could be purchased inexpensively and placed on an integrated-integrated circuit doubles every year. He lateryear, which he revised this figurein 1975 to be every 2 years (1975).

The doubling periodtwo years. It is often mistakenly reporteddiscussed as "18 months" or shorter,possibly due to being confused with estimatesa doubling every 18 months, but that is a separate claim by David House, Intel executive, of overall computing power that DO double over that time period. However these estimateschip performance. Moore's Law has been approximately correct for four decades.

Though current CMOS technology is predicted to be nonviable below a certain size, many other technologies offer the potential for far greater miniaturization. This may delay Moore's law while new technologies are based on additional factors such as increasesdeveloped to the degree CMOS technology is. The end of Moore's Law has often been falsely predicted in clock speed, size of cache memory or chip design. the past but continues to be a popular topic for speculation.

Moore's law is exclusively concerned with transistor density and nothing else.

The Futureoften cited as a reason to expect the creation of Moore's Law

For almost as long as there's been Moore's Law there have been commentators predicting its demise due to the supposed limits of engineering having been reached. The ability to increase the number of transistors available is due to reducing transistor size rather than increasing the size of the integrated circuit. As of the first half of 2012 the smallest commercially available transistors on a microprocessor are 22 nanometers (around 1.5 Billion transistors per chip), their 1965 equivalent were 100 micrometers (100,000 nanometers) with 50 transistors per device.

However, it does appear that component size does have a limiting factoran AGI in the formfuture, and is crucial for the possibility of the Laws of Physics. On the smallest of scales electrons become "smeared" across time and space meaning that they can no longer remain contained within the boundaries of very small components which results in disastrous contamination of signal processing.whole brain emulation.

Carbon Nanotubes would appear to address this problem, but it may be some time before a method of mass fabricating Carbon Nanotube chips is possible and even if a method is discovered these components cannot be shrunk any further due to the fixed physical limits of their structure.

If shrinking components any further becomes impossible a new form of chip will be required to extend Moore's Law. One approach would involve chips that are "stacked" into 3-dimensional layers instead of the 2-dimensional designs of today. There are a number of engineering issues that need to be addressed in order for 3D chips to be viable, the most significant of which is the issue of heat dispersal. A number of chip manufacturers including IBM have announced plans to release "stacked" chip technology.

Whilst the International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors has growth slowing at the end of 2013, Intel has publicly revealed it's own roadmap that projects a 5nm component scale by 2020.

Blog Posts

• A History of the End of Moore's Law Slate
• Intel reveal 5nm component chip Next Big Future

External Links

• IBM announce they are developing 3D chip technologyInternational Technology Roadmap For Semiconductors
• A History of the End of Moore's Law IBM press releaseSlate

• Intel's Microprocessor Roadmap Until 2021 from wikipedia

The doubling period is often mistakenly reported as "18 months" or shorter,possibly due to being confused with estimates of overall computing power that DO double over that time period. However these estimates are based on additional factors such as increases in clock speed, size of cache memory or chip design. Moore's law is exclusively concerned with transistorstransistor density and nothing else.

The doubling period is often mistakenly reported as "18 months" or shorter, this ispossibly due to being confused with theestimates of overall processingcomputing power of computers doubling at that rate because ofDO double over that time period. However these estimates are based on additional factors such as increases in clock speed, increases insize of cache memory or improvements in chip design. Moore's law is exclusively concerned with transistors density and nothing else.

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The Future of Moore's Law

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For almost as long as there's been Moore's Law there have been commentators predicting its demise due to the supposed limits of engineering having been reached. The ability to increase the number of transistors available is due to reducing transistor size rather than increasing the size of the integrated circuit. As of the first half of 2012 the smallest commercially available transistors on a microprocessor are 22 nanometers (around 1.5 Billion transistors per chip), their 1965 equivalent were 100 micrometers (100,000 nanometers) with 50 transistors per device. Intel have revealed they expect to release chips with 5nm components in the near future which would continue the expected projections of Moore's law.

The End of Moore's Law and Extending Moore's Law

For almost as long as there's been Moore's Law there's been commentators predicting its demise due to the supposed limits of engineering having been reached. Despite these predictions Moore's Law has proven to be extremely accurate. However, it does appear that component size does have a limiting factor in the form of the Laws of Physics. On the smallest of scales electrons become "smeared" across time and space meaning that they can no longer remain contained within the boundaries of very small components which results in disastrous contamination of signal processing.

Whilst the International Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors has growth slowing at the end of 2013, Intel has publicly revealed it's own roadmap that projects a 5nm component scale by 2020.

• Intel's Microprocessor Roadmap Until 2021 from wikipedia

For almost as long as there's been Moore's Law there's been commentators predicting its demise due to the supposed limits of engineering having been reached. Despite these predictions Moore's Law has proven to be extremely accurate. However, it does appear that component size does have a limiting factor in the form of the Laws of Physics. On the smallest of scales electrons become "smeared" across time and space meaning that they can no longer remain contained within the boundaries of very small components which results in disastrous contamination of processing signals.signal processing.