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keltan
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I live in Australia, I'd prefer to live in SF, but am currently trying to build skills to get a job I'd be interested in over there. If a post of mine indicated to you that I might be a good fit for a role you're looking to fill, please send me a DM :D

Other reasons I'd appreciate DMs include (though are not limited to):
- You'd like to collaborate on a project
- You'd like feedback on something
- You need an experienced filmmaker
- You need someone to run a workshop
- You would like to say "Hi!"

(If we met at LessOnline, you might remember me better as the Drama Workshop guy, or the counterpart to @isabella)

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30GTFO of the Social Internet Before you Can't: The Miro & Yindi Story
5mo
12
15The Compliment Sandwich 🥪 aka: How to criticize a normie without making them upset.
7mo
10
11Where should one post to get into the training data?
Q
8mo
Q
5
9Does Claude Prioritize Some Prompt Input Channels Over Others?
9mo
2
53I Finally Worked Through Bayes' Theorem (Personal Achievement)
9mo
7
4Is there a place to find the most cited LW articles of all time?
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1y
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3
2keltan's Shortform
1y
81
18AI Generated Music as a Method of Installing Essential Rationalist Skills
1y
4
4Don't Think About the Thing Behind the Curtain.
2y
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5(Confusion Phrases) AKA: Things You Might Say or Think When You're Confused to Use as Triggers for Internal TAPs
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2keltan's Shortform
1y
81
chanamessinger's Shortform
keltan9d60

I've been thinking this same thing for a while now, but coming at it from a different direction. I'm worried, and I'm not sure what to do about it. I've tried writing up some suggestions, but nothing has felt useful enough to post. To try and explain my position, I'll give a vague ramble comment here instead.

--

Yeah, I think it's possible the book will be a big deal. If it does make a significant splash, the overtone window might take a big knock, all at once. It's possible that the collective eye of the world, turns onto us. Onto LessWrong. How do we prep for that?

In a way that I adore, this community is a bunch of weirdos. We are not normal. We hold opinions that are vastly different from most of the world. If this book gets the reception it deserves, I think it'll be pretty easy to spin up articles dunking on LW. I imagine something like "Eugenics loving, Polygamous, vegan, SBF funded, Shrimp obsessed, Harry Potter fanfic, doomsday, sex cult, warns end times are near, in NYTs best seller".

I am afraid of the eye, looking down at us, calling us bad people, and I am afraid of the split. I do not want there to be the Blue tribe, the Red tribe, and the Grey tribe. I do not want this issue to become a culture war topic. How do we plan to avoid this outcome? If the book is successful, how do we steer the narrative away from "Group X wants to kill us all by doing Y!" and more into the realm of "Oh, this is a big deal, and we need to all work together to solve it"?

And how do we avoid being Carrie-ed in the cultural spotlight? How do we avoid people protesting in ways that are not beneficial to the cause? If we 'win' this thing, it seems to me, we need the support of the average person. But where is our relatable figure? Yudkowsky is a wonderful writer, and a quick thinking speaker. But, he is not a relatable figure head, and he is-unfortunately-somewhat easy to take jabs at.

Relevant fiction here is An Absolutely Remarkable Thing, by Hank Green. In which the Protagonist "April May" is thrown into the spotlight of the world, after an encounter with a mysterious robot. I'd recommend the book any time, but to me, it feels relevant now.

As stated, I am afraid, and it's possible my anxieties are projections of my own feelings. I'd be thankful to someone who could calm my anxiety with some logical argument. But, as of now, I think this emotion is telling me something important.

Reply
Plan E for AI Doom
keltan1mo41

I think this is a good idea. I commiserate with you, that it is a plan we must consider, but agree, that yes, we must consider these types of plans.

I dedicated an hour of thought to this last night. But couldn't come up with anything better than radio shot at precise locations. All my other ideas, were either based on theory, caused more risk than they'd be worth, or were more costly than radio waves.

The main problem with Radio Waves, is the inverse square law. Which can be fixed, as suggested, by beaming in certain directions, instead of as a sphere. But, that greatly decreases the probability of the message ever being received.

The ideal tech-I think-would have these properties:

  • Expands in 3 dimensions
  • Is encoded as an oscillating signal
  • Is powerful enough to be readable, further than "I Love Lucy"[1] (~2 light-years)
  • Works more like Ripples in a pond, than a scatter shot of photons

The only option that sounds better than radio waves to me, would be gravitational waves. But I know basically nothing about them, and my understanding is that they are theoretical.

  1. ^

    This is me saying "Ambient TV and Radio broadcasts", in a tongue and cheek way.

Reply
keltan's Shortform
keltan1mo70

I know of one experiment like this, Duolicious. But other than the name, which gives me the feeling I imagine the word 'moist' gives to others. The app has... too niche a community. 

Fig. The landing page for the Duolicious website. They claim to have 19,482 active members.

Fig. An example of the type of community Duolicious has.

Despite it's oddities, Duolicious is community funded, and open source. I think with a little work, it's interface could be really great! The "Clubs" system, which stands in for what would usually be "Interests" on another dating app, is fun, and highly customisable, letting you create your own Clubs, and easily tap other profile's Clubs to join them. It's a great customization loop! 

Fig. Example of the tags system. Again, this is a pretty niche, heavily internet cultured community. Not shown here, is that all tags you have in common, are listed separately.

Same goes for the Bios, which look like they can be as long as you desire, and add character to a person's profile. I haven't seen many "Date Me Docs", but I imagine this is as close as you'll get to one, while keeping the modern dating app interface. 

Fig. A lovely little bio I came across. I thought this was so pretty, I copied the whole thing, and added it to my Obsidian vault for use in future writing.

Based on estimated GPT5 gave me, I was expecting running a dating app to be hugely cost intensive, however, Duolicious makes this claim:

o: 

I feel surprise. I guess I believed something wrong. Going to the donate page, it's costing them $360 a month for servers.

That's an insanely low cost! How are they doing this? I wonder how hard it would be to shift the culture of the app, to something friendlier to a wider audience. Because at this cost, and for what it is, Duolicious is doing an above average job!

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keltan's Shortform
keltan1mo18-1

To Make Dating Apps Not Terrible, Make Them Not-for-Profit?

I'm skipping the explanation of why dating apps are bad for their users.

To fix these problems, why wouldn't we make a not-for-profit dating app?

  • It removes incentives to keep users lonely for as long as possible.
  • There are rich people who are worried about population decline, who might fund it.
    • I'm assuming some governments are probably getting worried too.
  • An app that legitimately finds people love, is probably a good candidate for warm fuzzy donations, perhaps the general public would be receptive to this?

Questions

  • Does anyone know of any dating apps (other than Duolicious, which I'll write about in a comment) that have experimented with a not-for-profit, or charity model?
  • What am I missing? This seems like a big ol' hunk of power, social capital, and utility, just sitting on the ground of central station!
Reply
Should you make stone tools?
keltan1mo*50

Epistemic Status: Memory. I learnt this (weirdly) in an astrobiology course at University. And through long personal interest in prehistory.

I know that the stone heads themselves are flint. To get it into the shape you want, you have to hit the flint with a harder rock. You hit it for (I think) hours[1] , in precise places around the edges. Inexperienced people may hit the flint too hard, when it's nearing completion, shattering hours of work, and requiring the process to start again. I have heard learning how to make good spear heads can take quite a long time.

  1. ^

    [Edit: I think I was wrong about the Hours thing. In David Miles' "Tale of the Axe" he claims it takes ~20 minutes for an experienced individual to Knapp a flint hand-axe.]

Reply1
Should you make stone tools?
keltan1mo359

This might be quite a 2025 centered perspective. But, it makes me curious about things like:

  • Fidget Toys
  • "Playing with the ground" when we sit outside and chat
  • Trinket collecting
  • Picking up a "good stick" while out on a walk
  • Our preference for smooth over rough rocks
Reply
A YouTube Video Will Probably Never Help You Quit YouTube
keltan1mo10

Additionally, maybe YouTube could gather user leaving or use reduction stats by channel rather than viewer. 

Wow. Diabolical. I have never thought of this. Grateful to have this pointed out to me.

I searched Scott the Woz and clicked on the first video and got a pre-roll video ad

Actually, that makes sense. I'm making a prediction, that if I check the first Scott video when I search his name, the description will say something like "This video contains copyrighted content from XYZ-Corp and has been claimed". Going to check that now... Nope. Incorrect prediction. I was wrong there.

I know that I get that message, in my video descriptions, when I have copyrighted content in the video. Checking that now. And wow! This part of the description has gotten some pretty insane updates since I last looked at it.

This is in the description for a video in which I reviewed 10+ different movies. The owners of those songs have put claims on this video. and they-at least, used to-run ads on this un-monetized video.

It would be cool to see surveys of people who quit and see if quitting is gradual or something suddenly clicks.

I started writing a post on this, and collecting some data. But have now realized it's a much bigger project than I anticipated. But I agree that this would be interesting data.

Reply
A YouTube Video Will Probably Never Help You Quit YouTube
keltan1mo52

I see what you're going for here, and I like when people output work that probably has net benefit on well being. That being said, I see some soft spots in your model, and I'm gonna poke some holes. I should note however, that I mostly just skimmed this post. It's likely I'm about to make a fool of myself.

First, I think your core claim is kinda correct. A YT video probably wont make you quit YT. However, that's not really what happens when people quit YT. It's more like this:

That's still a wild oversimplification. When I quit YT, it was mainly thanks to the Cortex Podcast, but YT videos certainly played a big part in updating me every time I watched a "Your Wasting Your Life Blah Blah Blah". 

Also, addiction is hard. Fluctuate in and out of behavior before they find something that 'sticks' and they quit for the long term.

But TLDR: People update incrementally over a long period of time, and idk how good the YT algorithm is at tracking what videos, over a 1-2 year period, were the most important updates towards the final decision to quit the platform.

Popular, promoted, searchable videos that are demonitized/ad-free

From memory, Scott the Woz, is a super popular YTber, and he does not put ads on his videos. 

I'm pretty sure YT claims that monetization status has no impact on the algorithm. Though, I am skeptical of this claim.

  • Popular, promoted, searchable videos that leave viewers satisfied and complete, ready to put down their device and move on with life
  • Search result videos that clearly and concisley answer the question without leading into further exploration/questions/viewing

I think these are pretty true to how YT works. I'll add that I think PH and similar sites probably employ this in a more intense way, but with a catch. A site like PH would want to eventually satisfy you, because being the app that... ends your session, has big 'cum back again' return.

Let me know if I missed the point, and am totally mistaken somewhere here.

Reply
How Does A Blind Model See The Earth?
keltan1mo114

I’d be interested to see what happens if you ask “is this land or water?” in other languages. If you asked in Japanese, would Asia render better?

Reply
Why I'm Posting AI-Safety-Related Clips On TikTok
keltan1mo10

Progressive exposure: Most people who eventually worked in AI Safety needed multiple exposures from different sources before taking action. Even viewers who don't click anywhere are getting those crucial early exposures that add up over time.

Related to this, is "The Sleeper Effect". Where a person hears a piece of information, and remembers both the info and the source of that info. Over time, they forget the source, but remember the original info. That info then becomes just another thing they believe. I think this adds weight to this part of your strategy.

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LLM-Induced Psychosis
9 days ago
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AI Psychology
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Cooking
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Animal Ethics
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