Mateusz Bagiński

Primarily interested in agent foundations and AI macrostrategy.

I endorse and operate by Crocker's rules.

I have not signed any agreements whose existence I cannot mention.

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cover ups

Why do you think there are cover-ups?

More specifically, do you mean that people-in-the-know are not willing to report it or that there is some active silencing or [discouragement of those who would like to bring attention to it] going on?

There was one community alert about Zizians 2y ago here. Before that, there was a discussion of Jessica Taylor's situation being downstream from Vassar's influence but as far as I remember Scott Alexander eventually retracted his claims about this.

In any case, I think this kind of stuff deserves a top-level alert post, like the one about Ziz.

Also: anybody have any recommendations for pundits/analysis sources to follow on the Taiwan situation? (there's Sentinel but I'd like something more in-depth and specifically Taiwan-related)

I think Mesa is saying something like "The missing pieces are too alien for us to expect to discover them by thinking/theorizing but we'll brute-force the AI into finding/growing those missing pieces by dumping more compute into it anyway." and Tsvi's koan post is meant to illustrate how difficult it would be to think oneself into those missing pieces.

I'm considering donating. Any chance of setting up some tax deduction for Euros?

I think you meant to hide these two sentences in spoiler tags but you didn't

guilt-by-association

Not necessarily guilt-by-association, but maybe rather pointing out that the two arguments/conspiracy theories share a similar flawed structure, so if you discredit one, you should discredit the other.

Still, I'm also unsure how much structure they share, and even if they did, I don't think this would be discursively effective because I don't think most people care that much about (that kind of) consistency (happy to be updated in the direction of most people caring about it).

Reminds me of how a few years ago I realized that I don't feel some forms of stress but can infer I'm stressed by noticing reduction in my nonverbal communication.

FYI if you want to use o1-like reasoning, you need to check off "Deep Think".

 

It's predictably censored on CCP-sensitive topics.

 

(In a different chat.) After the second question, it typed two lines (something like "There have been several attempts to compare Winnie the Pooh to a public individual...") and then overwrote it with "Sorry...".

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