(though this will probably be different in future rounds—SFF wants to
Looks like you cut off a part of the sentence.
There are some Ok options for getting tax-deductibility in the UK. I am still working on some ways for people in other European countries to get tax-deductibility.
Last year you had an arrangement with Effektiv Spenden. I wonder what happened that ES is not mentioned in this year's post.
What do you mean by "ally" (in this context)?
IIRC Eric Schwitzgebel wrote something in a similar vein (not necessarily about LLMs, though he has been interested in this sort of stuff too, recently). I'm unable to dig out the most relevant reference atm but some related ones are:
- https://faculty.ucr.edu/~eschwitz/SchwitzAbs/PragBel.htm
- https://eschwitz.substack.com/p/the-fundamental-argument-for
- https://faculty.ucr.edu/~eschwitz/SchwitzAbs/Snails.htm (relevant not because it talks about beliefs (I don't recall it does) but because it argues for the possibility of an organism being "kinda-X" where X is a property that we tend to think is binary)
1What's SSD?
1(Datapoint maybe of relevance, speaking as someone who figured that his motivation is too fear-driven and so recalled that this sequence exists and maybe is good for him to read to refactor something about his mind.)
Does that feel weird? For me it does—I feel a sense of internal resistance. A part of me says “if you believe this, you’ll stop trying to make your life better!” I think that part is kinda right, but also a little hyperactive.
It doesn't feel weird to me at all. My first-order reaction is more like "sure, you can do it, and it can cause some sort of re-perspectivization, change in the level of gratitude, etc., but so what?".
(Not disputing that changing the thresholds can have an effect on motivation.)
It seems to me like the core diff/crux between plex and Audrey is whether the Solution to the problem needs to take the form of
- The top level of the system having some codified/crystallized values that protect the parts, leaving their agency plenty of room and optionality to flourish.
- Some sort of decentralized but globally adaptive mycelium-like cooperation structure, where various components (communities, Kamis) act in just enough unison to prevent really bad outcomes and ensuring that we remain in a good basin.
Plex leans strongly towards "we need (1) and (2) is unstable". Audrey leans at least moderately towards "(2) is viable, and if (2) is viable, then (2) is preferred over (1)".
If I double click on this crux to get a crux upstream of it, I imagine something like:
- How easy is it to screw over the world given a certain level of intelligence that we would expect from a bounded Kami-like system (+ some plausible affordances/optimization channels)?
Consequently:
- How strong and/or centrally coordinated and/or uniformly imposed do the safeguards to prevent it need to be?[1]
And then:
- What is the amount of "dark optimization power" (roughly, channels of influence that can be leveraged to achieve big outcomes, likely to be preferred by some sort of entity but that we (humans) are not aware of) that can be accessed by beings that we can expect to exist within the next decades?
- ^
This collapses a lot of complexity of potential solutions into three dimensions but just to convey the idea.
1(FYI, I initially failed to parse this because I interpreted "'believing in' atoms" as something like "atoms of 'believing in'", presumably because the idea of "believing in" I got from your post was not something that you typically apply to atoms.)
1
Did you end up publishing this?