User Profile

star26
description14
message791

Recent Posts

Curated Posts
starCurated - Recent, high quality posts selected by the LessWrong moderation team.
rss_feed Create an RSS Feed
Frontpage Posts
Posts meeting our frontpage guidelines: • interesting, insightful, useful • aim to explain, not to persuade • avoid meta discussion • relevant to people whether or not they are involved with the LessWrong community.
(includes curated content and frontpage posts)
rss_feed Create an RSS Feed
All Posts
personIncludes personal and meta blogposts (as well as curated and frontpage).
rss_feed Create an RSS Feed

Singularity Non-Fiction Compilation to be Written

7y
Show Highlightsubdirectory_arrow_left
26

A speculation on Near and Far Modes

8y
Show Highlightsubdirectory_arrow_left
71

Signaling Strategies and Morality

8y
Show Highlightsubdirectory_arrow_left
50

Priors and Surprise

8y
Show Highlightsubdirectory_arrow_left
32

For progress to be by accumulation and not by random walk, read great books

8y
Show Highlightsubdirectory_arrow_left
105

New Year's Predictions Thread

8y
Show Highlightsubdirectory_arrow_left
437

New Year’s Resolutions Thread

8y
Show Highlightsubdirectory_arrow_left
41

Boston meetup Nov 15 (and others)

9y
Show Highlightsubdirectory_arrow_left
1

Less Wrong / Overcoming Bias meet-up groups

9y
Show Highlightsubdirectory_arrow_left
31

Recent Comments

Possibly valuable to talk with Robin Hanson and I for revision to HPMOR!Quirrell decision procedures from the source?

There's an anecdote near the beginning of "introduction to psychoanalysis" where he discusses the dreams of arctic explorers, which are almost entirely about food, not about sex, for understandable reasons.

It is possible to play both, but difficult, and you can't play both at once as well as equally smart non-analytical types will play just the social game.

Two examples. Sexual selection and speciation. Nuff' said.

Yep, but the vast majority of people in a workplace, even those nominally there to deliver technical skills, are there to deliver social skills in reality, and all of the most highly paid people are paid for social skills. That said, your right, still worth it. Being officially a foreigner is pos...(read more)

Another reasonable concern has to do with informational flow-through lines. When novel investigation demonstrates that previous claims or perspectives were in error, do we have good ways to change the group consensus?

I spent many hours explaining a sub-set of these criticisms to you in Dolores Park soon after we first met, but it strongly seemed to me that that time was wasted. I appreciate that you want to be lawful in your approach to reason, and thus to engage with disagreement, but my impression was that yo...(read more)

I think that people following the standards that seem credible to them upon reflection is the best you can hope for. Ideally, upon reflection, bets and experiments will be part of those standards to at least some people. Hopefully, some such groups will congeal into effective trade networks. If o...(read more)

I think that attempting effectiveness points towards a strong attractor of taking over countries.

I think that this is an effective list of real weak spots. If these problems can't be fixed, EA won't do much good.