May be related: OTC melatonin dosage is way above what is recommended. It's easy to find 10mg when the recommended dose is more like 0.3 mg.
2why other alignment people don't seem to think we'll get catastrophic job losses before AGI
Because AI before AGI will have similar effects as previous productivity enhancing technologies.
The simplest answer is progress is stalling. They could have gone for the engagement optimization angle since 2023, but there were promising alternatives then. By 2025, these all failed. Pretraining returns stalled and reasoning proved too inefficient to scale.
Small note: negative consensus seems to be concentrated in the Anglosphere
I'm not in law, but it seems more like an online course trying to be sold to me than a real conference. There is a long list of company logos, a bunch of credits and certifications promised, and a large blob of customer testimonials.
Did some quick googling and an actual conference would look like this. https://www.lsuite.co/techgc
I'm surprised this comment has so many upvotes. Did anyone actually click the link?
She is? She just seems like a standard LinkedIn grifter.
Seems like a highly speculative post built on complete guesses with little evidence or faulty claims.
How is any of that wrong or related to the question of ai being aligned. Do doomers seriously think you can indefinitely stop automation? It’s been happening for centuries.
They’re ignoring alignment but so are most labs. I still don’t get how this is not irrational. If it was worded as AI will inevitably become smarter then no one here would care.
A slow takeoff will result in incredibly suboptimal outcomes.
I think increasingly, it’s looking like democratic country politicians will not respond to automation in a remotely intelligent way.
I see democrat politicians and some republicans too call for full bans on self driving trucks. Meanwhile authoritarian countries like China and Russia are testing these trucks. The U.S. still holds a technological edge but for how long? A slow takeoff will probably lead to democratic countries strangled by rent seekers and other similar parasites.
I feel like this is quite underrated. A lot of solutions to a fast takeoff in my estimate would be hijacked by rent seekers to create a horrible world in a slow takeoff.