Does a predictable punchline have high or low entropy?
From False Laughter
You might say that a predictable punchline is too high-entropy to be funny
Since entropy is a measure of uncertainty a predictable punchline should be low entropy, no?
Regarding laughter:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NbbK6YKTpQR7u7D6u/false-laughter?commentId=PszRxYtanh5comMYS
You might say that a predictable punchline is too high-entropy to be funny
Since entropy is a measure of uncertainty a predictable punchline should be low entropy, no?
You might say that a predictable punchline is too high-entropy
I'm confused. Entropy is the average level of surprise inherent in the possible outcomes, a predictable punchline is an event of low surprise. Where does the high-entropy come from?
For the most point, admitting to having done Y is strong evidence that the person did do Y so I’m not sure if it can generally be considered a bias.
Not generally but I notice that the argument I cited is usually invoked when there is a dispute, e.g.:
Alice: "I have strong doubts about whether X really did Y because of..."
Bob: "But X already admitted to Y, what more could you want?"
What is the name of the following bias:
X admits to having done Y, therefore it must have been him.
if I am seeing a bomb in Left it must mean I’m in the 1 in a trillion trillion situation where the predictor made a mistake, therefore I should (intuitively) take Right. UDT also says I should take Right so there’s no problem here.
It is more probable that you are misinformed about the predictor. But your conclusion is correct, take the right box.
It’s pretty uncharitable of you to just accuse CfAR of lying like that!
I wasn't, I rather suspect them of being biased.
As the same time I accept the idea of intellectual property being protected even if that’s not the case they are claiming.
I suspect that this is the real reason. Although if the much vaster sequences by Yudkowsky are freely available I don't see it as a good justification for not making the CFAR handbook available.
Eliezer Yudkowsky painted "The Scream" with paperclips: