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Two days after publishing this post, we decided that the tone was unhelpfully combative. We stand by our views, but we made edits to make the tone less combative, and we removed two items from the list of false representations. You can see a diff here. This criticism of AI...
Over the next few weeks we'll cross post some of AI 2040 supplements to LessWrong for discussion; let us know if there are particular ones you think are especially useful to cross post and we'll prioritize those. AGI projects face key decisions around transparency: who gets to see algorithmic secrets,...
Yesterday we released AI 2040: Plan A, but there's lots of work left to do. We still have tons of uncertainty about the future of AI and the best strategies for how humanity can successfully chart a path through the intelligence explosion. You can read much of our current thinking...
For the past year, we at the AI Futures Project have been sinking most of our time into our next big scenario. Now it’s done! It’s called AI 2040: Plan A. It’s called Plan A because it’s a recommendation, not a prediction. It’s what we think should happen, not what...
In 2021 I wrote what became my most popular blog post: What 2026 Looks Like. I intended to keep writing predictions all the way to AGI and beyond, but chickened out and just published up till 2026. Well, it's finally time. I'm back, and this time I have a team...
The Long-Term Future Fund has an AMA up on the Effective Altruism Forum. There’s no real deadline for questions, but let’s say we have a soft commitment to focus on questions asked on or before September 8th. I'd prefer centralizing the questions to one place. If you don't want to...
Summary * The Center for AI Policy is a new organization developing and advocating for policy to mitigate catastrophic AI risks. * We are hiring for a Government Affairs Director and a Communications Director. We’re also open to other roles. The deadline to apply is October 30th, 2023. About Us...