Note that this venue has very limited food, but they don't mind if you order food from elsewhere and bring it inside.
Discussion Topic: Gambling Prediction Markets
Let's see who is the best at gambling. I hereby grant you each 100 units of my new currency, BayesBucks! BayesBucks can be redeemed for... nothing useful, sorry.
But wait! You may spend your BayesBucks by placing imaginary bets on any market(s) on Polymarket that you expect to resolve before September 17th, 2026 at 7:00 PM, at which time any bets in unresolved markets will vanish. Make your bet(s) before the July 16th meetup. You must hold your positions until the market resolves and may not reinvest earnings. You will, sadly, be paid out in BayesBucks.
To compensate you all for the fact that BayesBucks are stupid and worthless, the real winner is the person who has the most BayesBucks after all markets resolve. I will buy that person a beer. Others can chip in to the rewards if they wish as well.
Be prepared to share your bet(s) and convince others that you will win.
Micro-details that you can almost certainly ignore unless you really want to game this:
You may make a maximum of 8 bets.
A bet is executed at the historical market price reported by Polymarket at the July 16th, 2026 at 7:00 PM.
Markets must have at least $10,000 in seven-day trading volume and at least $2,000 in liquidity at the execution time to be considered valid.
You may buy only one side of any binary market and at most one position concerning the same underlying real-world event. Portfolios may not contain an arbitrage package. This includes combinations based on mutually exclusive outcomes, exhaustive outcomes, duplicate questions, or logical implication between questions.
Hello Everyone,
The July meetup will be on Thursday, July 16th at 7:00 PM.
Location: Irrational Brewing
Note that this venue has very limited food, but they don't mind if you order food from elsewhere and bring it inside.
Discussion Topic:
GamblingPrediction MarketsLet's see who is the best at gambling. I hereby grant you each 100 units of my new currency, BayesBucks! BayesBucks can be redeemed for... nothing useful, sorry.
But wait! You may spend your BayesBucks by placing imaginary bets on any market(s) on Polymarket that you expect to resolve before September 17th, 2026 at 7:00 PM, at which time any bets in unresolved markets will vanish. Make your bet(s) before the July 16th meetup. You must hold your positions until the market resolves and may not reinvest earnings. You will, sadly, be paid out in BayesBucks.
To compensate you all for the fact that BayesBucks are stupid and worthless, the real winner is the person who has the most BayesBucks after all markets resolve. I will buy that person a beer. Others can chip in to the rewards if they wish as well.
Be prepared to share your bet(s) and convince others that you will win.
Micro-details that you can almost certainly ignore unless you really want to game this:
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