LESSWRONG
LW

Thanks, this is awesome. I would love if there was a "roulette wheel" widget to choose the probability, in order to better visualize the equivalent bet test.

[-]Gust10y20

I'm not sure I get what kind of roulette you mean... something like a ring pie chart?

I thought of using a target, but I'm not sure if that would be much more effective than the sliding bar.

[-][anonymous]10y00

Yes, the ring pie chart.

[-][anonymous]10y10

Really fantastic idea. I would suggest adding a way to tag predictions so that you can see how accurate you are within a particular domain. I would also suggest adding a way to see your accuracy over different timeframes (in order to view improvement). With those two features, this would definitely be an app I'd be willing to buy.

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[-]Gust10y00

Thanks! I'll look into adding tags and timeframes. I'm not sure how to do that without the layout getting too crowded.

[-]Bobertron10y10

Sounds nice. Making predictions about personal events makes more sense to me than predicting e.g. elections or sport events (beauce a) I don't know anything about it, and b) I don't care about it). But I don't like the idea of making them (all) public, like on prediction book. Though a PredictionBook integration sounds like an obvious fancy feature.

And I liked what I saw the one second I could use the app ;-)

After installing, it crashed pressing "save" on the first prediction. Now it chrashed right on startup. I get to see the app for a moment, but I can't do anything. After deleting the data (from the android setting) I can make a new prediction, but again, it crashes after pressing "save".

I installed from the apk-link you provided.

I've got a Moto G (2. Generation) with Android 5.0.2.

Hope that helps. And if anyone can tell me how to diagnose the problem in more detail, I'd be interested in that, too.

[-]Gust10y10

Check the link below, v0.2. Should be working now!

https://www.dropbox.com/s/59redws46ncdiax/predict_v0.2.apk?dl=0

[-]Bobertron10y00

Great! Works so far.

[-]Gust10y00

This is weird. I'll test to see if I can reproduce and report back (hopefully with a fix).

[-]dutchie10y10

I like it! Thoughts from 30 seconds of playing around:

There's some flickering in the text of the tabs while swiping between them.
What is the difference between a "Yes" and a "No" prediction?
Long presses are not particularly discoverable; perhaps there should be some buttons when you tap a prediction to expand it in the list view.

Design-wise, it's great apart from that. Both of your proposed features would be worthwhile too.

[-]Gust10y00

Thanks!

I'm not getting the flickering here... are you on a low-end device? Which version of android are you on?
No difference at all. I just thought it would make sense to phrase the predictions in the form of questions and answers - so you could e.g. pick a question from a pre-made list and just choose your answer.
Good to know, I thought "long press to edit" was a common enough pattern that everybody would discover it.

[-]dutchie10y00

It's a Moto X (2nd gen) with Android 5.1, so not particularly low-end. It is most obvious if I slide only just fast enough for the inertia to take it between tabs, then it appears to get confused as to which one is highlighted at the crossover point.

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