All, I am writing an long post inspired by the Anthropic Economic Index. I created a model showing how 150 Interpretive Exhibit Design tasks will evolve and adopt AI tools over the next ten years. But I am not sure if it rises to the level of LessWrong's readership or editorial standards.

Does this seem of interest?

DesAIⁿ 2036: Interpretive Exhibits

Introduction

The use of AI in interpretive exhibit design (IXD) to accomplish many end-to-end tasks is nearing possibility and is likely a probability in 10 years.

Interpretive exhibit design, alone amongst design professions, uniquely combines experience design, physical design, graphic design, UI and media design, product design, architectural environments, and storytelling in spatial environments, geared to both general and specific audiences.

Thus, while AI is highly amenable to workflow integration in many IXD disciplines, several questions arise, common to in all fields, and will be considered. These include:

• Is “taste” the last stand for humans against AI? No, there are other factors explored below.
• Can adoption and capability be projected? Yes, by using known examples and extrapolating from AI job and task capability models as noted below.  
• How will interpretive exhibit design jobs and workflow change? My modeling projects that about 33% of interpretive design tasks will remain strongly human-driven in 10 years, largely as a result of the need to physically build and install custom fixtures, by humans.
• What are the problems AI solves for interpretive designers? AI is evolving so quickly that it is tempting to say “all of them” once Artificial Super Intelligence arrives. For now, it is decreasing friction and “democratizing” creative expression at the risk of increasing "Enshitification."
• Can AI be creative? Yes, in a way, like a stimulating conversation. As usual, it’s “garbage in, garbage out.” But I’ve seen it come up with visual approaches I did not envision and I took advantage of them, but opinions are strongly divided.

We are at a moment in history when technological developments have balanced humanity on a razor’s edge. Tipping one way lies existential doom and extinction of the biosphere (P)doom)⁹. A nudge the other way lies “Machines of Loving Grace.”¹ Assuming the latter, this report is an analysis of how a complex design endeavor will be impacted by an AI that in Andy Hall’s words²⁶ “... give every human being on the planet access to a sort of political superintelligence, if we shape it right.”

I am hopeful at this thought because, as I have written elsewhere, IXD has largely been a myth-making endeavor. Will Superintelligent, or at least competent, well-prompted AIgentic curators and historians, be able to delineate historical truth and scientific fact? Will it be able to navigate cultural realities? Can they be aligned to do so? Will clients accept the “verdict”? Will the public?

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humbly submitted for your thoughts!