This is a special post for quick takes by cdt. Only they can create top-level comments. Comments here also appear on the Quick Takes page and All Posts page.
Do we think that EA/Rats will have enough leverage in the future that they could repeat the success of pressuring the labs against the confidential non-disparagement-agreement scandal? (agree/disagree vote)
I don't think that series of events hinged on EAs/rats having leverage in the sense of wielding some flexible influence that's 0-sum with others' influence over the situation.
Instead, I think some people (sympathetic to EA) told a wide audience about some information that they cared about (especially the bit about withholding equity), and AI companies were then pressured by those wide audiences (including people inside of the AI companies; mostly not EAs/rats).
I think that's a great model for having impact (and a nice asymmetric tool that's disproportionat... (read more)