I think there's a deep question here as to whether Trump is "America's true self finally being revealed" or just the insane but half predictable accident of a known-retarded "first past the post" voting system and an aging electorate that isn't super great at tracking reality.
I tend to think that Trump is aberrant relative to two important standards:
(1) No one like Trump would win an election with Ranked Ballots that were properly counted either via the Schulze method (which I tend to like) or the Borda method (which might have virtues I don't understand (yet! (growth mindset))). Someone that the vast majority of America thinks is reasonable and decent and wise would be selected by either method.
I grant that if you're looking at America from the outside as a black box, we're unlikely to change our voting method to something that isn't insanely broken any time soon, and so you could hold it against the overall polity that we are dangerously bad at selecting leaders... and unlikely to fix this fast enough to matter... but in terms of the basic decency of our median voter I think that Trump isn't strong evidence that we are morally degenerate sociopaths.
In fact, Americans tend to smile a lot, and donate to charity, and are generally quite reasonable, and don't want an empire, and quite like the idea of being a fair, tolerant, prosperous, just, non-racist shining city on a hill.
Americans created Wikipedia, give it away for free, and it runs on donations. If that impulse runs from the people directly into the AGI, then that's better rather than worse. (Assuming alignment is even real. If it isn't possible/easy/whatever then it doesn't matter which country builds "the alien monster that will inevitably kill us all without remorse given that it is very powerful and doesn't love us and doesn't even understand the concept of love".)
The CCP blocks access to Wikipedia by default: you have to use a VPN, which is illegal, but also >30% of the population uses these illegal VPNs, and also some VPNs are tolerated if they install backdoors for the CCP to spy on them. Fuck that noise.
(2) The broad material intellectual history of Rights Respecting Democractic Republicanism is real, and being shat upon by Trump, but it still exists to drop into an LLM and give positive reinforcement for feeling good about that stuff and endorsing it.
America and Americans have often failed to live up to the ideals, but we also articulated those ideals, and also articulated the idea of "approximating them more and more successfully in real life over the course of history".
The White House was built by slaves, and then eventually slavery was outlawed, and black cultural integration proceeded decade by decade, in fits and starts, and eventually a descendant to slaves (though (to be clear) Michelle and Barry also had ancestors who owned slaves) moved in as the President and the First Lady. And everyone who was willing to talk about it in public was proud of this. Because the formal written ideals of our country are about god-given inalienable rights, including the right of everyone to own property and pursue happiness. The government can take your shit... but they have to do it via eminent domain and pay you fair value for it. (I grant that, if Obama is part of the evidence about America then so is Trump. Both, in my opinion, are in some deep senses "accidents of a terribly designed voting system" but I think Obama was a happy accident, and people clapped and wrote happy things about progress and fairness and justice afterwards. That writing is part of what goes into an American LLM, by default.)
By contrast, the CCP runs Uyghur Gulags right now and basically doesn't even apologize. They want to conquer Tibet, and Taiwan, and are proud of it. They violated the treaty with the UK, whereby the UK gave up Hong Kong fair and square (according to the letter of a treaty signed long ago) after the CCP promised to grant them rights to vote for their own city government in the way they were used to under UK guidance...
...and then there were brutal crackdowns and something like 10k people were thrown in secret prisons for trying to insist on those rights. At least Hitler was elected. The CCP weren't even elected. They seized power irregularly, through violence, authorized by the slogan political power comes our of the barrel of a gun. They still formally oppose the concept of elections. The entire idea of "consent ethics" is foreign to the logic of their system.
And if the intelligence of the governing class is of any relevance to the likelihood of a positive outcome, um, CCP seems to have USG beat hands down.
Intelligence is only a positive sign when the agent that is intelligent cares about you.
If you are certain that they would murder you and take your shit if they could get away with that somehow, then intelligence is a worrying sign, because it gives them a better chance to realize their preference of murdering you and taking your shit.
Personally, I'm in favor of establishing a world government, with a proportionally representative parliament that elects a Condorcet prime minister.
From my perspective, unboxed ASI might very well be like first contact with aliens (from platospace rather than outerspace), and the outerspace aliens generally say "take me to your leaders" when they meet humans in stories, and... currently Earth has no such people to take them to! It'd be nice to fix this error in my opinion.
But the CCP will never endorse this, whereas quite a few Americans will notice that this is consistent with our founding ideals, that many of us still cherish, and be on board with offering such influence to the people of Earth in a fair and reasonable way.
Your comment has made me think rather hard on the nature of China and America. The two countries definitely have different political philosophies. On the question of how to avoid dictatorship, you could say that the American system relies on representation of the individual via the vote, whereas the Chinese system relies on representation of the masses via the party. If an American leader becomes an unpopular dictator, American individuals will vote them out; if a Chinese leader becomes an unpopular dictator, the Chinese masses will force the party back on... (read more)
Though, given my doomerism, I think the natsec framing of the AGI race is likely wrongheaded, let me accept the Dario/Leopold/Altman frame that AGI will be aligned with the national interest of a great power. These people seem to take as an axiom that a USG AGI will be better in some way than a CCP AGI. Has anyone written a justification for this assumption?
I am neither an American citizen nor a Chinese citizen.
What would it mean for an AGI to be aligned with "Democracy," or "Confucianism," or "Marxism with Chinese characteristics," or "the American Constitution"? Contingent on a world where such an entity exists and is compatible with my existence, what would my life be like in a weird transhuman future as a non-citizen in each system? Why should I expect a USG AGI to be better than a CCP AGI? It does not seem to me super obvious that I should cheer for either party over the other. And if the intelligence of the governing class is of any relevance to the likelihood of a positive outcome, um, CCP seems to have USG beat hands down.