Today's post, Recursive Self-Improvement was originally published on 01 December 2008. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):

 

When you take a process that is capable of making significant progress developing other processes, and turn it on itself, you should either see it flatline, or FOOM. The likelihood of it doing anything that looks like human-scale progress is unbelievably low.


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I'm starting to notice a pattern here. Both Robin and Eliezer attempted at various times to explain the other's verbal behavior in terms of non-argument pieces. They both did this in a sort of outside-view-ey, here's-the-name-of-a-bias sort of way. And, importantly, it doesn't seem to have improved the outcome even a little.