This is a special post for quick takes by KAP. Only they can create top-level comments. Comments here also appear on the Quick Takes page and All Posts page.
Suppose you were to plot "net benefit to society" on the Y axis, and capabilities of publicly available models on the X axis.
I have a vague inkling that the top of the curve is somewhere around the Opus 4.8ish level. Anything too far below that, we have an expensive, capital-draining toy. Anything above that, we have turmoil.
The structure of productive relations is reorganized in an Opus 4.8ish world - there are new winners and new losers - but the economy absorbs the impact. Humanity still is in the driving seat, creativity and initiative still matter. In a Mythos+ world, the economy is too pressured to adapt.