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I wish there was an AI 2027 but for the Hackening. Like a Cyber 2027. Black October didn't even need an open Mythos-tier model to happen, and we'll likely get one very soon. Seems important to predict the scale of the damage, and how this'll impact public perception, regulation of AI, and the economy. Maybe we'll get a recession?
I tried to do a mini-me version of this in 2023. Ultimately though I think "Cyber 2027" is just much harder to model because it depends on finding an equilibrium between opposing factions that are collectively smarter than an individual, rather than, say, predicting the amount of compute we'll have N months out. It really is kind of an open question how hard it is to make major software 0-day proof.