I have a tentative hypothesis that the US is quite precarious. Although I believe we have likely avoided the worst outcomes this year, I think the next 10-30 yrs have some reasonable chance of going very badly. I don't know what that means, nor what the implications are for top cause areas.
I want to create a reading/listening list for exploring all this. Things I'm interested in:
- history, particularly broad arcs/analysis of history (e.g., maybe I should read some Peter Turchin stuff)
- history, particularly significant changes in global power dynamics (where power also involves technological advancement or similar)
- ....other things I'm not thinking of that feel relevant
I have no background here at all. So even very basic recommendations would be appreciated.