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Reading/listening list for the US failing or other significant shifts?

by Nicole Ross1 min read13th Nov 20202 comments

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World ModelingRationality
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I have a tentative hypothesis that the US is quite precarious. Although I believe we have likely avoided the worst outcomes this year, I think the next 10-30 yrs have some reasonable chance of going very badly. I don't know what that means, nor what the implications are for top cause areas.

 

I want to create a reading/listening list for exploring all this. Things I'm interested in:

  • history, particularly broad arcs/analysis of history (e.g., maybe I should read some Peter Turchin stuff)
  • history, particularly significant changes in global power dynamics (where power also involves technological advancement or similar)
  • ....other things I'm not thinking of that feel relevant

 

I have no background here at all. So even very basic recommendations would be appreciated.

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Search for "Samo Burja" on YouTube.

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1467-9477.2011.00265.x

Recommend this paper, which suggests that wealthy democracies never fall.