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What are good alternatives to Predictionbook for personal prediction tracking? Edited: I originally thought it was down but it was just 500 until I though of clearing cookies.

by sortega
7th Apr 2023
1 min read
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Forecasting & PredictionSoftware ToolsPractical
Personal Blog

4

What are good alternatives to Predictionbook for personal prediction tracking? Edited: I originally thought it was down but it was just 500 until I though of clearing cookies.
2Sinclair Chen
2sortega
1Sinclair Chen
2sortega
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Sinclair Chen

Apr 07, 2023

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predictionbook.com looks up to me

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[-]sortega2y20

I was getting a 500 error every time I tried to load it. I've deleted my cookies and I can use it again. Thanks for the nudge!

However, even if PB is working, I would like to know about alternatives because it feels too clunky and usability is kind of poor.

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1Sinclair Chen2y
Try manifold.markets (disclosure: i work there). It’s a bit different - instead of just logging predictions, the questions you make are prediction markets that you and other people can bet on with virtual points. There is a calibration graph based on your bets, though i find the profit graph more useful. What do you use mainly prediction book for? What are you trying to accomplish?
2sortega2y
My main use case for prediction book are private personal predictions and, secondarily, predictions for a small group, also private. I think using markets for the group predictions is also a good fit but AFAIK there are no private groups in manifold yet.
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