I'm interested in someone working out and writing up "Plan A-", an international agreement that's like Plan A (as described in AI 2040), except:
- Limits HW progress via a deal to destroy compute (instead of building compute and limiting SW)
- Assumes 2027 timelines instead of 2030 timelines
- No total research transparency, no mutually assured compute destruction. (Which I think are good but are sticking points for many).
I call it Plan A- because it's worse than (well implemented) Plan A in a bunch of ways (e.g. much harder to pay safety taxes), but it's more feasible, requires much less institutional capacity, and seems pretty robust. All things considered, Plan A- is my current recommendation for what governments should do.