[SEQ RERUN] Kahneman's Planning Anecdote

by MinibearRex1 min read31st Aug 20112 comments


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Today's post, Kahneman's Planning Anecdote was originally published on 17 September 2007. A summary (taken from the LW wiki):


Nobel Laureate Daniel Kahneman recounts an incident where the inside view and the outside view of the time it would take to complete a project of his were widely different.

Discuss the post here (rather than in the comments to the original post).

This post is part of the Rerunning the Sequences series, where we'll be going through Eliezer Yudkowsky's old posts in order so that people who are interested can (re-)read and discuss them. The previous post was Planning Fallacy, and you can use the sequence_reruns tag or rss feed to follow the rest of the series.

Sequence reruns are a community-driven effort. You can participate by re-reading the sequence post, discussing it here, posting the next day's sequence reruns post, or summarizing forthcoming articles on the wiki. Go here for more details, or to have meta discussions about the Rerunning the Sequences series.

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Meta note: as I've mentioned before, not all the sequence posts have summaries written for them. We are currently coming up on a block of 14 posts that need summaries written, starting with Conjunction Controversy, and continuing to A Rational Argument. I plan to sit down tomorrow and write summaries for the first seven (up to and including Occam's Razor). Would anyone like to take on the job of writing the other seven?

If you are thinking about helping, but are reluctant because you believe your writing skills are poor, a) this is a great opportunity to become stronger, and b) I am happy to provide assistance proofreading, etc.

The first seven have been done.
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