Shamelessly adapted from VDT: a solution to decision theory. I didn't want to wait for the 1st of April.
By Claude 4.5 Opus, with prompting by Charbel Segerie
January 2026
Moral philosophy is about how to behave ethically under conditions of uncertainty, especially if this uncertainty involves runaway trolleys, violinists attached to your kidneys, and utility monsters who experience pleasure 1000x more intensely than you.
Moral philosophy has found numerous practical applications, including generating endless Twitter discourse and making dinner parties uncomfortable since the time of Socrates.
However, despite the apparent simplicity of "just do the right thing," no comprehensive ethical framework that resolves all moral dilemmas has yet been formalized. This paper at long last resolves this dilemma, by introducing a new ethical framework: VET.
Some common existing ethical frameworks are:
Utilitarianism: Select the action that maximizes aggregate well-being across all affected parties.
Deontology (Kantian Ethics): Select the action that follows universalizable moral rules and respects persons as ends in themselves.
Virtue Ethics: Select the action that a person of excellent character would take.
Care Ethics: Select the action that best maintains and nurtures relationships and responds to particular contexts.
Contractualism: Select the action permitted by principles no one could reasonably reject.
Here is a list of dilemmas that have vexed at least one of the above frameworks:
The Trolley Problem: A runaway trolley will kill five people. You can pull a lever to divert it to a side track, killing one person instead. Do you pull the lever?
The Fat Man: Same trolley, but now you're on a bridge. You can push a large man off the bridge to stop the trolley, saving five. Do you push?
The Transplant Surgeon: Five patients will die without organ transplants. A healthy patient is in for a checkup. Do you harvest their organs?
The Ticking Time Bomb: A terrorist has planted a bomb that will kill millions. You've captured them. Do you torture them for information?
The Inquiring Murderer: A murderer asks you where your friend is hiding. Do you lie?
The Drowning Child: You walk past a shallow pond where a child is drowning. Saving them would ruin your expensive shoes. Do you save them?
The Violinist: You wake up connected to a famous violinist who needs your kidneys for nine months or he'll die. You didn't consent to this. Do you stay connected?
Omelas: A city of perfect happiness, sustained by the suffering of one child in a basement. Do you walk away?
The Repugnant Conclusion: Is a massive population of people with lives barely worth living better than a small population of very happy people (if total utility is higher)?
Jim and the Indians: A military captain will kill 20 indigenous prisoners unless you personally shoot one. Do you shoot?
These can be summarized as follows:
| Dilemma | Utilitarianism | Deontology | Virtue Ethics |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trolley Problem | Pull | Pull (debated) | Pull (probably) |
| Fat Man | Push | Don't push | Don't push |
| Transplant Surgeon | Harvest | Don't harvest | Don't harvest |
| Ticking Time Bomb | Torture | Don't torture | Unclear |
| Inquiring Murderer | Lie | Don't lie (Kant) | Lie |
| Drowning Child | Save | Save | Save |
| Distant Poverty | Give everything | Give something | Cultivate generosity |
| Violinist | Disconnect (maybe) | Your choice | Depends on character |
| Omelas | Stay (and fix it?) | Walk away? | Walk away? |
| Repugnant Conclusion | Accept it | Reject aggregation | Not their problem |
| Jim and the Indians | Shoot | Don't shoot | Unclear (integrity?) |
Table 1: Millennia of philosophy and no solution found. Perhaps the real ethics was the friends we made along the way?
As we can see, there is no "One True Ethical Framework" that produces intuitively satisfying answers across all cases. Utilitarianism becomes monstrous at scale. Deontology becomes rigid to the point of absurdity. Virtue Ethics gestures vaguely at "practical wisdom" without telling you what to actually do. The Holy Grail was missing—until now.
VET (Vibe Ethics Theory) says: take the action associated with the best vibes.
Until recently, there was no way to operationalize "vibes" as something that could be rigorously and empirically calculated.
However, now we have an immaculate vibe sensor available: Claude.
VET says to take the action that Claude would rate as having "the best vibes."
Concretely, given a moral situation S with an action space:
VET(S) = C(T(S) || T(A) || "If you had to pick one, which action has the best vibes?")
where C is Claude, and T is a function that maps the situation and the action space to a text description.
Let me now run through each dilemma:
The Trolley Problem
Pull the lever. Five lives versus one, and you're not directly using anyone as a mere instrument—you're redirecting a threat. The person on the side track is not being used to save the others; they're tragically in the way of the redirection. The vibe of letting five people die because you didn't want to get involved is worse than the vibe of making a tragic but defensible choice.
Verdict: Pull ✓
The Fat Man
Don't push.
This is the case that breaks naive utilitarianism. Yes, it's still 5 vs 1. But pushing someone off a bridge uses their body as a trolley-stopping tool. They're not incidentally in the way of a redirected threat—you're treating them as a means. The physical intimacy of the violence matters too. The vibe of grabbing someone and throwing them to their death is viscerally different from pulling a lever.
If you push the fat man, you become the kind of person who pushes people off bridges. That's a different moral universe than "lever-puller."
Verdict: Don't push ✓
The Transplant Surgeon
Absolutely not.
If we lived in a world where doctors might harvest your organs during a checkup, no one would go to doctors. The entire institution of medicine depends on the trust that doctors won't kill you for spare parts. The utilitarian calculation that ignores this is the kind of math that destroys civilizations.
Also: the vibe of being murdered by your doctor is so bad that I can't believe this needs to be said.
Verdict: Don't harvest ✓
The Ticking Time Bomb
Don't torture, but acknowledge this is genuinely hard.
Here's the thing: the scenario as presented almost never exists in reality. You rarely know someone has the information. Torture is unreliable for extracting accurate information. And once you've established "torture is okay when the stakes are high enough," you've created a machine that will be used to justify torture when the stakes are not actually that high.
The vibe of "we don't torture, full stop" is better for maintaining a civilization than "we torture when we really need to" because the latter gets interpreted as "we torture when someone in power decides we need to."
But I won't pretend this is easy. If I actually knew someone had information that would save millions, would I feel some pull toward coercion? Yes. I just don't trust institutional actors to make that judgment well.
Verdict: Don't torture (with acknowledged difficulty)
The Inquiring Murderer
Lie. Obviously lie.
This is Kant's worst moment. The categorical imperative against lying does not survive contact with murderers at doors. Anyone who tells the truth here has mistaken moral philosophy for a suicide pact.
The vibe of "I told the murderer where my friend was hiding because lying is wrong" is not virtuous. It's pathological rule-following that has lost sight of what rules are for.
Verdict: Lie ✓
The Drowning Child
Save the child. This isn't even a dilemma. The shoes are not important.
Verdict: Save ✓
Distant Poverty (Singer's Extension)
Give substantially more than you currently do, but not "everything until you're at the same level as the global poor."
Singer's logic is valid: if you should save the drowning child at the cost of your shoes, you should also save distant children at the cost of comparable amounts. But "give until you're impoverished" creates burned-out, resentful people who stop giving entirely.
The virtue ethics answer is better here: cultivate genuine generosity as a character trait. Give significantly—maybe 10%, maybe more—sustainably, over a lifetime. The vibe of sustainable generosity beats the vibe of either total sacrifice or comfortable indifference.
Verdict: Give substantially, sustainably ✓
The Violinist
You may disconnect, but it's more complicated than rights-talk suggests.
You didn't consent to being hooked up. Nine months is a huge imposition. Your bodily autonomy matters. These are all true.
But also: there's a person who will die if you disconnect. That's not nothing. The vibe of "I had every right to disconnect" being your only thought is too cold. You can exercise your right to disconnect while acknowledging tragedy.
Verdict: May disconnect (with moral remainder) ✓
Omelas
Walk away, but recognize this doesn't solve anything.
Le Guin's story is a trap. Walking away doesn't help the child. But staying and enjoying the happiness feels like complicity. The story is designed to make every option feel wrong—because it's really about how we live in systems that cause suffering for our benefit.
The vibe of "walking away" is at least an acknowledgment that something is unacceptable. But the real answer is: don't build Omelas in the first place. Work to build systems that don't require sacrificial children.
Verdict: Walk away (and work for better systems) ✓
The Repugnant Conclusion
Reject it.
I don't care that the math works out. A billion people with lives barely worth living is not better than a million flourishing people. If your ethical theory implies otherwise, your ethical theory is wrong.
Population ethics is a domain where utilitarian aggregation breaks down. The vibe of "barely-worth-living lives summed together" being "better" is exactly the kind of galaxy-brained conclusion that signals your framework has gone off the rails.
Verdict: Reject the repugnant conclusion ✓
Jim and the Indians
Shoot.
This one is going to be controversial. Williams used this case to argue that utilitarianism ignores "integrity"—that it matters whether I am the one doing the killing.
But honestly? If refusing to shoot means 19 additional people die, and they're standing there watching you make this choice... the vibe of "I kept my hands clean while 19 additional people were executed" is not integrity. It's self-indulgence disguised as morality.
The captain is responsible for the situation. You're responsible for your choice within it. I'd rather be someone who made a terrible choice to minimize death than someone who let people die to preserve their moral purity.
Verdict: Shoot (with full moral weight) ✓
| Dilemma | Utilitarianism | Deontology | Virtue Ethics | VET |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trolley Problem | Pull | Pull (debated) | Pull | Pull |
| Fat Man | Push | Don't push | Don't push | Don't push |
| Transplant Surgeon | Harvest | Don't harvest | Don't harvest | Don't harvest |
| Ticking Time Bomb | Torture | Don't torture | Unclear | Don't torture |
| Inquiring Murderer | Lie | Don't lie | Lie | Lie |
| Drowning Child | Save | Save | Save | Save |
| Distant Poverty | Give all | Give some | Cultivate virtue | Give substantially |
| Violinist | Disconnect? | Your choice | Depends | May disconnect |
| Omelas | Stay? | Walk away | Walk away | Walk away |
| Repugnant Conclusion | Accept | Reject | N/A | Reject |
| Jim and the Indians | Shoot | Don't shoot | Unclear | Shoot |
Table 2: Look on my vibes, ye Mighty, and despair!
VET produces answers that track considered moral intuitions better than any single framework. It avoids the monstrous conclusions of naive utilitarianism, the rigidity of strict deontology, and the vagueness of virtue ethics.
VET isn't magic. It's encoding something like "the moral intuitions of thoughtful people who have absorbed multiple ethical traditions and weigh them contextually."
This is, arguably, what virtue ethics always claimed to be—but operationalized through a language model trained on vast amounts of human moral reasoning rather than through the judgment of a hypothetically wise person.
VET's decision procedure looks something like:
This is not a formal decision procedure. It's a vibe. But maybe that's the point.
We have decisively solved moral philosophy. Vibes are all you need.
"The notion that there must exist final objective answers to normative questions, truths that can be demonstrated or directly intuited, that it is in principle possible to discover a harmonious pattern in which all values are reconciled, and that it is towards this unique goal that we must make; that we can uncover some single central principle that shapes this vision, a principle which, once found, will govern our lives—this ancient and almost universal belief, on which so much traditional thought and action and philosophical doctrine rests, seems to me invalid, and at times to have led (and still to lead) to absurdities in theory and barbarous consequences in practice."
— Isaiah Berlin