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Forecast — LessWrong

Forecast

			v1.15.0Aug 27th 2022 GMT
			v1.14.0Mar 10th 2012 GMT	(+30/-11)
			v1.13.0Sep 28th 2009 GMT	(+54/-54)
			v1.12.0Sep 28th 2009 GMT
			v1.11.0Sep 25th 2009 GMT	(+30) /* See also */
			v1.10.0Sep 25th 2009 GMT	(+67) /* See also */
			v1.9.0Sep 25th 2009 GMT
			v1.8.0Sep 25th 2009 GMT	(+23) /* See also */
			v1.7.0Aug 6th 2009 GMT	moved [[Forecasting]] to [[Forecast]]
			v1.6.0Aug 6th 2009 GMT	(+4/-4)

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Multicore v1.15.0Aug 27th 2022 GMT 1

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Grognor v1.14.0Mar 10th 2012 GMT (+30/-11) 2

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PeerInfinity v1.13.0Sep 28th 2009 GMT (+54/-54) 1

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PeerInfinity v1.12.0Sep 28th 2009 GMT 1

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Vladimir_Nesov v1.11.0Sep 25th 2009 GMT (+30) /* See also */ 2

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Vladimir_Nesov v1.10.0Sep 25th 2009 GMT (+67) /* See also */ 2

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Vladimir_Nesov v1.9.0Sep 25th 2009 GMT 2

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Vladimir_Nesov v1.8.0Sep 25th 2009 GMT (+23) /* See also */ 2

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Vladimir_Nesov v1.7.0Aug 6th 2009 GMT moved [[Forecasting]] to [[Forecast]] 2

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PeerInfinity v1.6.0Aug 6th 2009 GMT (+4/-4) 1

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Planning fallacy
Exploratory engineering
Prediction, Possibility
Representativeness bias, Absurdity heuristic
Hindsight bias
Existential risk

Planning fallacy
Exploratory engineering

Blog posts

The 80% Forecasting Solution by Robin Hanson

Blog posts

~~The 80% Forecasting Solution~~ by ~~Robin Hanson~~

Planning fallacy
Exploratory engineering
Prediction, Possibility
Representativeness bias, Absurdity heuristic

Planning fallacy
Exploratory engineering
Prediction, ~~Possibility~~prediction market, possibility
Representativeness bias, Absurdity heuristic
Hindsight bias
Existential risk

See Alsoalso