Good-Story Bias

Paul Crowley (+115) add Tyler Cowen TEDx talk
PeerInfinity (+46/-46)
Vladimir_Nesov (+5/-182) The remark about existential risk might belong to existential risk article, but it doesn't seem prominent in the bias itself.
steven0461 (+177)
Vladimir_Nesov (+16) /* Blog posts */
Vladimir_Nesov (+17) /* See also */
steven0461 (+4)
steven0461 (+225) Created page with 'Optimizing predictions for sounding good as stories, when nature optimizes for no such thing, creates a bias that [[Nick Bostrom]] [http://www.nickbostrom.com/existential/risks.h...'

Optimizing predictions for sounding good as stories, when nature optimizes for no such thing, creates a bias that Nick Bostrom has termed good-story bias. If a disaster kills off all sentient life quickly and without warning, that's a boring story and therefore one of which we might underestimate the plausibility.bias.

Optimizing predictions for sounding good as stories, when nature optimizes for no such thing, creates a bias that Nick Bostrom has termed good-story bias. If a disaster kills off all sentient life quickly and without warning, that's a boring story and therefore one of which we might underestimate the plausibility.

Optimizing predictions for sounding good as stories, when nature optimizes for no such thing, creates a bias that Nick Bostrom has termed good-story bias.