Predictionbook

Ruby
junk heap homotopy (+6)
[anonymous] (+12) /* Less Wrong users */ added my account
gwern (+77/-28) update counts
lukeprog (+16) /* Less Wrong users */
lukeprog (+8) /* Less Wrong users */
gwern (+8/-12) update numbers of predictions
Vladimir_Nesov (+104/-104) standard markup
gwern (+6/-6) ln upcoming predictions
gwern (+202/-104) mention #s; you could get a lot of calibration out of >180 predictions, and those are just the ones due soon for the impatient

PB has >31008374 prediction topics recorded, >9239 individual predictions recorded,judged, and >424 predictions215 prediction topics maturing in the next 2 years.

PredictionBook is a website created by Tricycle Developments to allow users to record predictions with specific end dates. Confidence is measured and used in statistics & graphs showing each user's prediction history.

PB has over 1900 predictions recorded, and >180 predictions maturing in the next 2 years.

External links

Blog posts

External links

Blog posts

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