Squiggle

How do we allow people to read some set of estimation functions on different problems? 

If you want to know what an estimate of AI risk is, how do you see people's simple models (estimation functions) of this?

Some questions

  • Why did you do squiggle when it doesn't seem to deal with this estimation functions problem
  • Why not build a python package?

 

 

Squiggle is not:

not

 

Models vs estimation functions:

functions

  • A key notion is the difference between models and estimation functions
  • Models are high detail and expensive to run. They make implications about causality
  • Explanation functions used cached date and are cheap to run
  • The world is a model, a photograph or video game simulator is an estimation function

 

 


Questions

  • Why did you do squiggle when it doesn't seem to deal with this estimation functions problem
  • Why not build a python package?

Squiggle is a special-purpose programming language for probabilistic estimation. Think: "Guesstimate as a programming language." Squiggle is free and open-source.

Read the overview.

 

Overarching goals

  • Allow non-experts to see the "sum" of views on a question
    • Allow non-experts
  • Allow expression of estimated distributions and functions easily [1]

 

Squiggle is not:

  • For intensive calcution

 

Models vs estimation functions:

  • Models are high detail and expensive to run. They make implications about causality
  • Explanation functions used cached date and are cheap to run
  • The world is a model, a photograph or video game simulator is an estimation function

The world is made of complex models, but we want answers to simpler questions - what is the most pressing thing to work on? How do we reduce risk? What am I going to have for lunch?

 

 


Questions

  • Why did you do squiggle when it doesn't seem to deal with this estimation functions problem
  • Why not build a python package?
  1. ^

    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mv6nuN7nhnNpj9MLr/announcing-i5BWqSzuLbpTSoTc4/squiggle-early-accessan-overview#What_Squiggle_is_Meant_For

Applied to Squiggle: An Overview by ozziegooen 2y ago

Squiggle is a special-purpose programming language for probabilistic estimation. Think: "Guesstimate as a programming language." Squiggle is free and open-source.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/mv6nuN7nhnNpj9MLr/announcing-squiggle-early-access

Created by Cedar at 2y