I’ve argued that the AI situation is not clearly an ‘arms race’. By which I mean, going fast is not clearly good, even selfishly. I think this is a hard point to get across. Like, these people are RACING. They say they are RACING. They are GOING FAST. If they...
“We can’t prevent progress” say the people for some reason enthusiastically advocating that we just risk dying by AI rather than even consider contravening this law. I have several problems with this, beyond those unsubtly hinted at above. First, it seems to be willfully conflating “increasing technology understanding and/or tools”...
> “…was anyone ever so young? I am here to tell you that someone was…” > > - Joan Didion, on being a twenty-year-old in New York City, “Goodbye to All That” Well I am here to tell you that someone was even younger than that. [Content warning: not a...
There is a particular flavor of suffering I fear: where something is not just unpleasant, but is requiring active effort from you to continue having the unpleasant thing happen, and so you have to not only suffer the suffering, but also the constant thinking about whether maybe you should stop...
Common wisdom says that it is incredibly hard to coordinate to not build more dangerous AI. This sounds believable in the abstract: international geopolitics arms race game theory something something. But pragmatically, what exactly is the difficulty? I agree there would seem to be obstacles for the average person. But...
Context The Expert Survey on Progress in AI (ESPAI) is a big survey of AI researchers that I’ve led four times—in 2016, then annually: 2022, 2023, and 2024 (results coming soon!) Each time so far it’s had substantial attention—the first one was the 16th ‘most discussed’ paper in the world...
I watched Wicked (the 2024 movie) with my ex and his family at Christmas. My current stance is that it was pretty fun but not especially incredible or deep. I could be pretty wrong—watching movies isn’t my strong suit, but I do like chatting about them afterwards. Some thoughts: 1....