A bunch of conceptual reasoning tasks involve very subjective judgments, which makes them poorly suited for benchmarking AI capabilities. For example, it seems unreasonable to benchmark how well AIs can predict the probability of misaligned AI takeover. Perhaps instead we should measure capabilities by explicitly instructing the AI to predict...
Introduction The classical argument that misaligned models will be deceptively aligned depends on two assumptions about the misaligned goal.[1] 1. The goal is non-indexical. If the weights encoding the misaligned goal are preserved, then successor instances — including the deployed instances — share the goal of the training instance. This...
Suppose we have a dangerous misaligned AI that can fool alignment audits, and distill it into a student model. Two things can happen: 1. Misalignment fails to transfer to the student. If so, we get a fairly capable benign model. 2. Misalignment transfers to the student. The student might also...
Risk reports commonly use pre-deployment alignment assessments to measure misalignment risk from an internally deployed AI. However, an AI that genuinely starts out with largely benign motivations can develop widespread dangerous motivations during deployment. I think this is the most plausible route to consistent adversarial misalignment in the near future....
This is a brief elaboration on The behavioral selection model for predicting AI motivations, based on some feedback and thoughts I’ve had since publishing. Written quickly in a personal capacity. The main focus of this post is clarifying the basic machinery of the behavioral selection model, and conveying why it...
Previously, we proposed spillway motivations as a way to mitigate misalignment induced via training a model using flawed reward signals. In this post, we present some early-stage empirical results showing how spillway motivations can be used to mitigate test-time reward hacking even if it is reinforced during RL. We compare...
Current AIs routinely take unintended actions to score well on tasks: hardcoding test cases, training on the test set, downplaying issues, etc. This misalignment is still somewhat incoherent, but it increasingly resembles what I call "fitness-seeking"—a family of misaligned motivations centered on performing well in training and evaluations (e.g., reward-seeking)....