anandjeyahar

10y

Hi all,

Please read the Disclaimers at the end of the post first, if you're easily offended.

Generalists(general medicine):

Get extremely unbeatable at 20 Questions(rationality link). It'll help you make your initial diagnoses(ones based on questions about symptoms) faster and more accurate.
Understand probability, bayes theorem and how to apply it^** This will help you interpret the test results, you ordered based on the 20 questions.
Understand base rate fallacy, and how to avoid being over confident.
Understand the upsides and downsides of the drugs you prescribe. Know the probabilities of fatal and adverse side-effects and update them with evidence(Bayes' theorem mentioned above) as you try out different brands and combinations.
Know the costs and benefits of any

... (read 746 more words →)

Replying toMeetup : Bangalore LW Meetup

Meetup : Bangalore LW Meetup

Dates changed.. See http://www.meetup.com/Bangalore-LessWrongers-Meetup/events/221944253/

Meetup : Bangalore meetup + pi-day wrap party

11y

Discussion article for the meetup : Bangalore meetup + pi-day wrap party

WHEN: 14 March 2015 11:00:32AM (+0530)

WHERE: Bangalore

Here's the meetup link. http://www.meetup.com/Bangalore-LessWrongers-Meetup/events/221043422/

Discussion article for the meetup : Bangalore meetup + pi-day wrap party

Replying toToo busy to think about life

Too busy to think about life

Unreliable memory.. but here's a less opinionated, and closer to original sounding one.. although the source is dodgy.

And she felt hungry. And that also made no sense. The stomach was a bag for digesting food. It wasn't supposed to issue commands. The Auditors could survive quite well by exchanging molecules with their surroundings and making use of any local source of energy. That was a fact.

Try telling that to the stomach. She could feel it. It was sitting there, grumbling. She was being harassed by her internal organs. Why the ... why the. . why had they copied internal organs? Yuerkkk.

Frome here.

Replying toToo busy to think about life

Too busy to think about life

I think Terry Pratchett makes this point well, in "The thief of time". Can't find the exact quote, but here goes my paraphrasing from memory

"Human beings make decisions by committee. The stomach has a mind of its, own and wants to put food in the mouth.

I disagree. I'm not sure it's provable(maybe in professional poker players??), but if you've played the bet a lot of times, you could have come up with cues* about whether your friend has got the same roll(or number on the die) as the last time or not.

-- not sure how verbalizable or not it is .(which implies harder to teach to someone else).

-1

OK, so "there could be cases where it is rational to update." How would you do so?

(I can't understand what an update could reasonably change. You aren't going to make the probability of any particular side more than 1/6, so what is the new probability?)

I don't know either. I can make up a scenario, based on a series of die throws, history of win-losses and guesses based on that, but that would simply be conjecture, and still may not produce a reasonable process. However, this discussion reminded me of a scene in HPMOR. (The scene where HP's critic part judges that Miss Camblebunker was not a Doctor, but an actor. (After Bellatrix is broken out of prison.))

What does it mean to have uncertainty reduction taking place outside of the frame of reference of the person being asked for a decision?

You're assuming humans are rational(as in the AI definition of a rational agent). We're not. So this knowledge that other person knows something for sure, that we don't know about, colours/biases one's judgement.

I am not saying one should update their beliefs based on another person knowing or not knowing, but that we do anyway, as part of perception. I would argue, that we should be learning to notice the confusion between the rational side of us vs the perceptive side which notes (the other agent's) confidence/lack there of.... (read more)

Meetup : Bangalore LWers meetup

Ah.... "genuine uncertainty" the term reminds me of "no true scotsman argument". My point being, there's an uncertainty reduction before and after the die was rolled, not to say this means, I should update my belief about the die's rolled/winning value.

Simply put my friend Naomi's beliefs have been updated and uncertainty in her mind has been eliminated. I think the author was trying to point out that most people conflate the two differences. It definitely is well worded for rhetoric, but not for pedagogy(in Feynman sense).

Meetup : Bangalore Meetup

11y

Discussion article for the meetup : Bangalore LWers meetup

WHEN: 07 February 2015 11:00:00AM (+0530)

WHERE: Bangalore, Karnataka, India

And here's the meetup link and details for the month of february. Incidentally(we stick to 2nd saturday of the month), it coincides with valentine's day. See the meetup link for agenda/plan, location and time details. http://www.meetup.com/Bangalore-LessWrongers-Meetup/events/220047394/

Discussion article for the meetup : Bangalore LWers meetup

Meetup : Bangalore Meetup

11y

Discussion article for the meetup : Bangalore Meetup

WHEN: 10 January 2015 11:02:00AM (+0530)

WHERE: Central Mall, MG road, bangalore

1st meetup of then new year for less wrongers in bangalore. Let's use the meetup.com page for co-ordinating. http://www.meetup.com/Bangalore-LessWrongers-Meetup/events/219133638/. And here's a mailing list. https://groups.google.com/forum/#!forum/bangalore-lesswrongers

Discussion article for the meetup : Bangalore Meetup

Meetup : Bangalore meetup

11y

Discussion article for the meetup : Bangalore Meetup

WHEN: 22 November 2014 04:10:51PM (+0530)

WHERE: cafe coffee day, old airport road ,Bengaluru

I've registered and created a meetup.com account and a group there. For the first meetup am thinking of Nov.14. (Friday evening). If you would prefer a different date, please post on the meetup group. http://www.meetup.com/Bangalore-LessWrongers-Meetup/events/212529792/

Discussion article for the meetup : Bangalore Meetup