I don't think they passed it in a full sense. Before LLM, there was a 5 minute Turing test, and some chatbots were passing it. I think 5 minutes is not enough. I bet that if you give me 10 hours, any currently existing LLM and human, we will communicate only via text, I will be able to figure out who is who (if both will try hard to persuade in their humanity). I don't think LLM can come up yet with a consistent non-contradicting life story. It would be an interesting experiment :)
Would you mean similarity on the outer level (e.g. Turing test) or at inner (e.g. neural network structure should resemble brain structure?
If the first - would it mean that when AI passes Turing test it would be sentient?
If the second - what are the criteria for similarity? Full brain emulation or something less complicated?
Can you expand your argument why LLM will not reach AGI? Like, what exactly is the fundamental obstacle they will never pass? So far they successfully doing longer and longer (for humans ) tasks https://benjamintodd.substack.com/p/the-most-important-graph-in-ai-right
I neither can see why in a few generations LLM won't be able to run a company, as you suggested. Moreover, I don't see why it is necessary to get to AGI. LLM are already good at solving complicated, Ph.D. level mathematical problems, which improves. Essentially, we just need an LLM version of AI researcher. To create ASI you don't need a billion of Sam Altmans, you need a billion of Ilya Sutskevers. Is there any reason to assume LLM will never be able to become an excellent AI researcher?
I agree, they have a really bad life, but Eliezer seems to talk here about those who work 60 hours/week to ensure their kids will go to a good school. Slightly different problem.
And on homeless people, there are different cases. In some UBI indeed will help. But, unfortunately, in many cases the person has mental health problems or addiction, and simply giving them money may not help.
I feel that one of the key elements of the problem is misplaced anxiety. If the ancient farmer stops working hard he will not not get enough food. So all his family will be dead. In modern Western society, the risk of being dead from not working is nearly zero. (You are way more likely to die from exhausting yourself and working too hard). When someone works too hard, usually it is not fear of dying too earlier, or that kids will die. It is a fear of failure, being the underdog, not doing what you are supposed to, and plenty of other constructs that ancient people simply did not reach - first they needed to survive. In this sense, we are way better than even one hundred years ago.
Can UBI eliminate this fear? Maybe partially it can help, but people will still likely work hard to preserve their future and the future of their children. Maybe making psychotherapy (t address the fear itself) more available for those with low income is a better solution. I understand that it would require training way more specialists than we have now. However, some people report a benefit from talking with GPT as a therapist https://x.com/Kat__Woods/status/1644021980948201473 , maybe it can help.
What is the application deadline? I did not find it in the post. Thank you!
Yes, absolutely! We will open the application for mentee later
So far nothing, was distracted by other stuff in my life. Yes, let's chat! frombranestobrains@gmail.com
Thank you very much for catching the mistake! I checked, you are completely right.