Thanks! There's a Manifold Markets Discord bot which lets you quickly create and bet on markets
We might create a Fatebook Discord bot if there's enough interest (some other people have asked for it) - though first we're making a web version.
Just set it up in the Beeminder work Slack and I am immediately in love 😍
First forecast: Will at least 4 of us (including me) play this reindeer game? (96% probability so far)
Announcing Fatebook for Slack - a Slack bot designed to help high-impact orgs build a culture of forecasting.
With Fatebook, you can ask a forecasting question in your team's Slack:
Then, everyone in the channel can forecast:
When it's time to resolve the question as Yes, No or Ambiguous, the author gets a reminder. Then everyone gets a Brier score, based on their accuracy.
It's like a tiny, private, fast Metaculus inside your team's Slack.
Why build a culture of forecasting?
We built Fatebook for Slack aiming to help high-impact orgs become more effective.
See the FAQs on the website for more info. We'd really value your feedback in the comments, in our Discord, or at adam@sage-future.org.
You can add Fatebook to your workspace here.
Thanks to all our alpha testers for their valuable feedback, especially the teams at 80,000 Hours, Lightcone, EA Cambridge, and Samotsvety.